Marília Arraes maintains her position as the clear frontrunner for first place in Pernambuco’s two-seat Senate race, with recent surveys from institutes including Datafolha, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest showing her ahead on combined first- and second-choice votes. Her advantage stems from high visibility as a former federal deputy and 2022 gubernatorial candidate, combined with her placement on the Frente Popular chapa alongside Humberto Costa and aligned with João Campos’s gubernatorial bid. Opposition candidates such as Mendonça Filho and Eduardo da Fonte trail in these polls, reflecting more fragmented support bases and lower consolidated preferences. With the first round set for October 4 and each voter selecting two senators, trader pricing aligns with this sustained polling edge and the limited time remaining for shifts before ballots close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMarília Arraes 72%
Humberto Costa 11.3%
Mendonça Filho 8.5%
Eduardo da Fonte 7.0%
$33,344 Vol.
$33,344 Vol.
4 out 2026
Marília Arraes
72%
Humberto Costa
14%
Mendonça Filho
8%
Eduardo da Fonte
7%
Túlio Gadêlha
<1%
Gorett Bitu
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
<1%
Mariano Macedo
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
<1%
Marília Arraes 72%
Humberto Costa 11.3%
Mendonça Filho 8.5%
Eduardo da Fonte 7.0%
$33,344 Vol.
$33,344 Vol.
4 out 2026
Marília Arraes
$16,485 Vol.
72%
Humberto Costa
$9,659 Vol.
14%
Mendonça Filho
$1,357 Vol.
8%
Eduardo da Fonte
$921 Vol.
7%
Túlio Gadêlha
$625 Vol.
<1%
Gorett Bitu
$667 Vol.
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$658 Vol.
<1%
Mariano Macedo
$630 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$668 Vol.
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$585 Vol.
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$523 Vol.
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
$565 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes maintains her position as the clear frontrunner for first place in Pernambuco’s two-seat Senate race, with recent surveys from institutes including Datafolha, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest showing her ahead on combined first- and second-choice votes. Her advantage stems from high visibility as a former federal deputy and 2022 gubernatorial candidate, combined with her placement on the Frente Popular chapa alongside Humberto Costa and aligned with João Campos’s gubernatorial bid. Opposition candidates such as Mendonça Filho and Eduardo da Fonte trail in these polls, reflecting more fragmented support bases and lower consolidated preferences. With the first round set for October 4 and each voter selecting two senators, trader pricing aligns with this sustained polling edge and the limited time remaining for shifts before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volume
$33,344Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes maintains her position as the clear frontrunner for first place in Pernambuco’s two-seat Senate race, with recent surveys from institutes including Datafolha, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest showing her ahead on combined first- and second-choice votes. Her advantage stems from high visibility as a former federal deputy and 2022 gubernatorial candidate, combined with her placement on the Frente Popular chapa alongside Humberto Costa and aligned with João Campos’s gubernatorial bid. Opposition candidates such as Mendonça Filho and Eduardo da Fonte trail in these polls, reflecting more fragmented support bases and lower consolidated preferences. With the first round set for October 4 and each voter selecting two senators, trader pricing aligns with this sustained polling edge and the limited time remaining for shifts before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$33,344Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marília Arraes maintains her position as the clear frontrunner for first place in Pernambuco’s two-seat Senate race, with recent surveys from institutes including Datafolha, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest showing her ahead on combined first- and second-choice votes. Her advantage stems from high visibility as a former federal deputy and 2022 gubernatorial candidate, combined with her placement on the Frente Popular chapa alongside Humberto Costa and aligned with João Campos’s gubernatorial bid. Opposition candidates such as Mendonça Filho and Eduardo da Fonte trail in these polls, reflecting more fragmented support bases and lower consolidated preferences. With the first round set for October 4 and each voter selecting two senators, trader pricing aligns with this sustained polling edge and the limited time remaining for shifts before ballots close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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