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Política·Médio Oriente

Quem será o próximo primeiro-ministro de Israel após as próximas eleições?

icon for Quem será o próximo primeiro-ministro de Israel após as próximas eleições?
Política·Médio Oriente

Quem será o próximo primeiro-ministro de Israel após as próximas eleições?

Benjamin Netanyahu 40%

Naftali Bennett 40%

Gadi Eizenkot 12.3%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.9%

Polymarket

$9,189,334 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu 40%

Naftali Bennett 40%

Gadi Eizenkot 12.3%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.9%

Polymarket

$9,189,334 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu

$751,332 Vol.

40%

Naftali Bennett

$1,243,731 Vol.

40%

Gadi Eizenkot

$745,261 Vol.

12%

Avigdor Lieberman

$657,163 Vol.

4%

Yair Lapid

$507,866 Vol.

1%

Itamar Ben Gvir

$333,667 Vol.

1%

Israel Katz

$157,509 Vol.

1%

Ayelet Shaked

$525,250 Vol.

<1%

Amir Ohana

$327,506 Vol.

<1%

Benny Gantz

$349,041 Vol.

<1%

Yossi Cohen

$607,165 Vol.

<1%

Yariv Levin

$467,035 Vol.

<1%

Yair Golan

$479,880 Vol.

<1%

Gideon Sa’ar

$712,540 Vol.

<1%

Moshe Feiglin

$511,443 Vol.

<1%

Yoaz Hendel

$530,983 Vol.

<1%

Nir Barkat

$281,975 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In Israel's parliamentary system, the next prime minister will be determined through post-election coalition negotiations after the Knesset vote due by October 2026. The tight race between Benjamin Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett reflects the April 2026 merger of Bennett's and Yair Lapid's parties into the Together list, which recent polls show competing closely with Likud for the largest bloc. Netanyahu retains strong backing from religious and right-wing parties, while Bennett benefits from centrist and security-focused voters drawn to his record and potential inclusion of figures like Gadi Eizenkot. Further alliances, shifting security conditions, or legal developments could alter the balance in this fragmented contest.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,189,334
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In Israel's parliamentary system, the next prime minister will be determined through post-election coalition negotiations after the Knesset vote due by October 2026. The tight race between Benjamin Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett reflects the April 2026 merger of Bennett's and Yair Lapid's parties into the Together list, which recent polls show competing closely with Likud for the largest bloc. Netanyahu retains strong backing from religious and right-wing parties, while Bennett benefits from centrist and security-focused voters drawn to his record and potential inclusion of figures like Gadi Eizenkot. Further alliances, shifting security conditions, or legal developments could alter the balance in this fragmented contest.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,189,334
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem será o próximo primeiro-ministro de Israel após as próximas eleições?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Benjamin Netanyahu" at 40%, followed by "Naftali Bennett" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem será o próximo primeiro-ministro de Israel após as próximas eleições?" has generated $9.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem será o próximo primeiro-ministro de Israel após as próximas eleições?," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem será o próximo primeiro-ministro de Israel após as próximas eleições?" is "Benjamin Netanyahu" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Naftali Bennett" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem será o próximo primeiro-ministro de Israel após as próximas eleições?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.