Skip to main content
icon for Quem será o próximo primeiro-ministro de Israel após as próximas eleições?
Política·Médio Oriente

Quem será o próximo primeiro-ministro de Israel após as próximas eleições?

icon for Quem será o próximo primeiro-ministro de Israel após as próximas eleições?
Política·Médio Oriente

Quem será o próximo primeiro-ministro de Israel após as próximas eleições?

Benjamin Netanyahu 40%

Naftali Bennett 40%

Gadi Eizenkot 12.4%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.9%

Polymarket

$9,176,842 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu 40%

Naftali Bennett 40%

Gadi Eizenkot 12.4%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.9%

Polymarket

$9,176,842 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu

$751,323 Vol.

40%

Naftali Bennett

$1,243,731 Vol.

40%

Gadi Eizenkot

$745,195 Vol.

12%

Avigdor Lieberman

$657,163 Vol.

4%

Yair Lapid

$507,538 Vol.

1%

Itamar Ben Gvir

$333,647 Vol.

1%

Israel Katz

$157,502 Vol.

1%

Ayelet Shaked

$525,226 Vol.

<1%

Amir Ohana

$323,946 Vol.

<1%

Benny Gantz

$349,035 Vol.

<1%

Yossi Cohen

$607,153 Vol.

<1%

Yariv Levin

$467,030 Vol.

<1%

Yair Golan

$478,462 Vol.

<1%

Gideon Sa’ar

$711,339 Vol.

<1%

Moshe Feiglin

$511,418 Vol.

<1%

Yoaz Hendel

$530,979 Vol.

<1%

Nir Barkat

$278,304 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The April 2026 announcement that Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid would contest the legislative elections due by October 2026 under a joint "Together" slate has kept the race for Israel's next prime minister closely balanced, as recent polls show their combined list running even with or slightly ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud while the ruling coalition holds only a narrow Knesset minority. Potential inclusion of Gadi Eizenkot and his Yashar party remains a key variable that could expand the opposition's seat total without guaranteeing a stable governing majority. These developments sustain trader consensus around equal probabilities for Netanyahu and Bennett to form the next coalition government, with Eizenkot positioned as a secondary contender whose support could shift bloc dynamics in an environment defined by coalition negotiations and security priorities.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,176,842
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The April 2026 announcement that Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid would contest the legislative elections due by October 2026 under a joint "Together" slate has kept the race for Israel's next prime minister closely balanced, as recent polls show their combined list running even with or slightly ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud while the ruling coalition holds only a narrow Knesset minority. Potential inclusion of Gadi Eizenkot and his Yashar party remains a key variable that could expand the opposition's seat total without guaranteeing a stable governing majority. These developments sustain trader consensus around equal probabilities for Netanyahu and Bennett to form the next coalition government, with Eizenkot positioned as a secondary contender whose support could shift bloc dynamics in an environment defined by coalition negotiations and security priorities.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,176,842
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem será o próximo primeiro-ministro de Israel após as próximas eleições?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Benjamin Netanyahu" at 40%, followed by "Naftali Bennett" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem será o próximo primeiro-ministro de Israel após as próximas eleições?" has generated $9.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem será o próximo primeiro-ministro de Israel após as próximas eleições?," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem será o próximo primeiro-ministro de Israel após as próximas eleições?" is "Benjamin Netanyahu" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Naftali Bennett" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem será o próximo primeiro-ministro de Israel após as próximas eleições?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.