Abelardo de la Espriella captured a first-round plurality of roughly 44 percent in Colombia’s May 31, 2026 presidential election, securing the 40-45 percent market outcome. A political outsider aligned with the Defensores de la Patria movement, he consolidated right-wing support through a tough-on-crime platform, social-media outreach, and backing from evangelical groups, drawing votes away from other conservative candidates. Third-place finisher Paloma Valencia’s endorsement further aided consolidation, while dissatisfaction with outgoing President Gustavo Petro’s administration boosted turnout among his base. Official results were certified on June 4 despite limited fraud claims, aligning closely with final tallies and leaving little room for reversal. The June 21 runoff against Iván Cepeda remains the next scheduled contest that could indirectly test first-round positioning through turnout or legal challenges, though structural barriers to altering certified first-round shares remain high.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAbelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
40-45% 98.6%
45%+ 2.1%
<20% <1%
20-25% <1%
$13,642 Объем
$13,642 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
<20%
1%
20-25%
<1%
25-30%
<1%
30-35%
<1%
35-40%
<1%
40-45%
99%
45%+
2%
40-45% 98.6%
45%+ 2.1%
<20% <1%
20-25% <1%
$13,642 Объем
$13,642 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
<20%
$1,018 Объем
1%
20-25%
$1,702 Объем
<1%
25-30%
$1,781 Объем
<1%
30-35%
$1,245 Объем
<1%
35-40%
$1,806 Объем
<1%
40-45%
$2,976 Объем
99%
45%+
$3,114 Объем
2%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Abelardo de la Espriella captured a first-round plurality of roughly 44 percent in Colombia’s May 31, 2026 presidential election, securing the 40-45 percent market outcome. A political outsider aligned with the Defensores de la Patria movement, he consolidated right-wing support through a tough-on-crime platform, social-media outreach, and backing from evangelical groups, drawing votes away from other conservative candidates. Third-place finisher Paloma Valencia’s endorsement further aided consolidation, while dissatisfaction with outgoing President Gustavo Petro’s administration boosted turnout among his base. Official results were certified on June 4 despite limited fraud claims, aligning closely with final tallies and leaving little room for reversal. The June 21 runoff against Iván Cepeda remains the next scheduled contest that could indirectly test first-round positioning through turnout or legal challenges, though structural barriers to altering certified first-round shares remain high.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Открытие рынка: May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ET
Объем
$13,642Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Abelardo de la Espriella captured a first-round plurality of roughly 44 percent in Colombia’s May 31, 2026 presidential election, securing the 40-45 percent market outcome. A political outsider aligned with the Defensores de la Patria movement, he consolidated right-wing support through a tough-on-crime platform, social-media outreach, and backing from evangelical groups, drawing votes away from other conservative candidates. Third-place finisher Paloma Valencia’s endorsement further aided consolidation, while dissatisfaction with outgoing President Gustavo Petro’s administration boosted turnout among his base. Official results were certified on June 4 despite limited fraud claims, aligning closely with final tallies and leaving little room for reversal. The June 21 runoff against Iván Cepeda remains the next scheduled contest that could indirectly test first-round positioning through turnout or legal challenges, though structural barriers to altering certified first-round shares remain high.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Объем
$13,642Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Abelardo de la Espriella captured a first-round plurality of roughly 44 percent in Colombia’s May 31, 2026 presidential election, securing the 40-45 percent market outcome. A political outsider aligned with the Defensores de la Patria movement, he consolidated right-wing support through a tough-on-crime platform, social-media outreach, and backing from evangelical groups, drawing votes away from other conservative candidates. Third-place finisher Paloma Valencia’s endorsement further aided consolidation, while dissatisfaction with outgoing President Gustavo Petro’s administration boosted turnout among his base. Official results were certified on June 4 despite limited fraud claims, aligning closely with final tallies and leaving little room for reversal. The June 21 runoff against Iván Cepeda remains the next scheduled contest that could indirectly test first-round positioning through turnout or legal challenges, though structural barriers to altering certified first-round shares remain high.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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