The Bank of Canada’s April 29, 2026 decision to hold its overnight rate steady at 2.25% continues to anchor trader expectations for the June 10 announcement, with markets pricing in virtually no change. Recent March 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation rising to 2.4% year-over-year on elevated gasoline prices tied to Middle East developments, yet core measures remained near 2% and the central bank signaled it would look through the temporary energy spike while monitoring U.S. tariff impacts and moderate GDP growth. With the policy rate already 200 basis points below its 2024 peak and labor market conditions showing no overheating, the market-implied odds reflect a clear consensus that the June outcome will align with the current neutral stance. A material shift would require either sustained above-target inflation outside energy components or unexpectedly robust growth data ahead of the meeting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоBank of Canada decision in June?
Bank of Canada decision in June?
No change 96.6%
Increase 2.5%
25 bps decrease <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$26,662 Объем
$26,662 Объем
10 июн. 2026 г.
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
1%
No change
97%
Increase
3%
No change 96.6%
Increase 2.5%
25 bps decrease <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$26,662 Объем
$26,662 Объем
10 июн. 2026 г.
50+ bps decrease
$4,584 Объем
<1%
25 bps decrease
$4,363 Объем
1%
No change
$9,705 Объем
97%
Increase
$8,011 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Canada’s April 29, 2026 decision to hold its overnight rate steady at 2.25% continues to anchor trader expectations for the June 10 announcement, with markets pricing in virtually no change. Recent March 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation rising to 2.4% year-over-year on elevated gasoline prices tied to Middle East developments, yet core measures remained near 2% and the central bank signaled it would look through the temporary energy spike while monitoring U.S. tariff impacts and moderate GDP growth. With the policy rate already 200 basis points below its 2024 peak and labor market conditions showing no overheating, the market-implied odds reflect a clear consensus that the June outcome will align with the current neutral stance. A material shift would require either sustained above-target inflation outside energy components or unexpectedly robust growth data ahead of the meeting.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Объем
$26,662Дата окончания
10 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Canada’s April 29, 2026 decision to hold its overnight rate steady at 2.25% continues to anchor trader expectations for the June 10 announcement, with markets pricing in virtually no change. Recent March 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation rising to 2.4% year-over-year on elevated gasoline prices tied to Middle East developments, yet core measures remained near 2% and the central bank signaled it would look through the temporary energy spike while monitoring U.S. tariff impacts and moderate GDP growth. With the policy rate already 200 basis points below its 2024 peak and labor market conditions showing no overheating, the market-implied odds reflect a clear consensus that the June outcome will align with the current neutral stance. A material shift would require either sustained above-target inflation outside energy components or unexpectedly robust growth data ahead of the meeting.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Объем
$26,662Дата окончания
10 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Canada’s April 29, 2026 decision to hold its overnight rate steady at 2.25% continues to anchor trader expectations for the June 10 announcement, with markets pricing in virtually no change. Recent March 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation rising to 2.4% year-over-year on elevated gasoline prices tied to Middle East developments, yet core measures remained near 2% and the central bank signaled it would look through the temporary energy spike while monitoring U.S. tariff impacts and moderate GDP growth. With the policy rate already 200 basis points below its 2024 peak and labor market conditions showing no overheating, the market-implied odds reflect a clear consensus that the June outcome will align with the current neutral stance. A material shift would require either sustained above-target inflation outside energy components or unexpectedly robust growth data ahead of the meeting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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