Canada's federal Immigration Levels Plan for 2026-2028 has cut temporary resident targets sharply while stabilizing permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually, producing net outflows of non-permanent residents that more than offset natural increase and new permanent inflows. Preliminary Statistics Canada data already recorded a 0.2 percent population drop in the first quarter of 2026, marking the first year-over-year decline since World War II. The Parliamentary Budget Officer projects flat overall growth for the full year as these outflows continue. Traders therefore assign a modest edge to a net decline, reflecting the sustained impact of recent policy tightening aimed at easing housing and service pressures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоУвеличилось
Увеличилось
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's federal Immigration Levels Plan for 2026-2028 has cut temporary resident targets sharply while stabilizing permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually, producing net outflows of non-permanent residents that more than offset natural increase and new permanent inflows. Preliminary Statistics Canada data already recorded a 0.2 percent population drop in the first quarter of 2026, marking the first year-over-year decline since World War II. The Parliamentary Budget Officer projects flat overall growth for the full year as these outflows continue. Traders therefore assign a modest edge to a net decline, reflecting the sustained impact of recent policy tightening aimed at easing housing and service pressures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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