The polarized runoff between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing Iván Cepeda, backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro, on June 21 drives expectations for solid participation. First-round turnout reached 57.89 percent, up nearly three points from 2022 amid widespread security and governance concerns. Traders price the 60-64 percent band highest because the tight contest and rapid conservative consolidation, including endorsements from figures like Álvaro Uribe, are spurring mobilization on both sides while limiting abstention. Historical runoff patterns in Colombia and the absence of major logistical disruptions or scandals in the final stretch support modest gains over the initial round rather than sharp drops or spikes above 64 percent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено60–64% 59%
56-60% 37%
64%+ 3.9%
52-56% 3.0%
$13,462 Объем
$13,462 Объем
22 июн. 2026 г.
Менее 52%
1%
52-56%
3%
56-60%
37%
60–64%
59%
64%+
4%
60–64% 59%
56-60% 37%
64%+ 3.9%
52-56% 3.0%
$13,462 Объем
$13,462 Объем
22 июн. 2026 г.
Менее 52%
$828 Объем
1%
52-56%
$678 Объем
3%
56-60%
$3,034 Объем
37%
60–64%
$5,609 Объем
59%
64%+
$3,313 Объем
4%
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The polarized runoff between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing Iván Cepeda, backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro, on June 21 drives expectations for solid participation. First-round turnout reached 57.89 percent, up nearly three points from 2022 amid widespread security and governance concerns. Traders price the 60-64 percent band highest because the tight contest and rapid conservative consolidation, including endorsements from figures like Álvaro Uribe, are spurring mobilization on both sides while limiting abstention. Historical runoff patterns in Colombia and the absence of major logistical disruptions or scandals in the final stretch support modest gains over the initial round rather than sharp drops or spikes above 64 percent.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Открытие рынка: Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Объем
$13,462Дата окончания
22 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The polarized runoff between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing Iván Cepeda, backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro, on June 21 drives expectations for solid participation. First-round turnout reached 57.89 percent, up nearly three points from 2022 amid widespread security and governance concerns. Traders price the 60-64 percent band highest because the tight contest and rapid conservative consolidation, including endorsements from figures like Álvaro Uribe, are spurring mobilization on both sides while limiting abstention. Historical runoff patterns in Colombia and the absence of major logistical disruptions or scandals in the final stretch support modest gains over the initial round rather than sharp drops or spikes above 64 percent.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Объем
$13,462Дата окончания
22 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The polarized runoff between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing Iván Cepeda, backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro, on June 21 drives expectations for solid participation. First-round turnout reached 57.89 percent, up nearly three points from 2022 amid widespread security and governance concerns. Traders price the 60-64 percent band highest because the tight contest and rapid conservative consolidation, including endorsements from figures like Álvaro Uribe, are spurring mobilization on both sides while limiting abstention. Historical runoff patterns in Colombia and the absence of major logistical disruptions or scandals in the final stretch support modest gains over the initial round rather than sharp drops or spikes above 64 percent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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