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icon for Победитель выборов губернатора Федерального округа
Политика·Бразилия

Победитель выборов губернатора Федерального округа

icon for Победитель выборов губернатора Федерального округа
Политика·Бразилия

Победитель выборов губернатора Федерального округа

Celina Leão 83%

Arruda 8.3%

Leandro Grass 4.0%

Elisson <1%

Polymarket

$17,106 Объем

Celina Leão 83%

Arruda 8.3%

Leandro Grass 4.0%

Elisson <1%

Polymarket

$17,106 Объем

icon for Celina Leão

Celina Leão

$9,798 Объем

83%

icon for Arruda

Arruda

$1,936 Объем

8%

icon for Leandro Grass

Leandro Grass

$1,643 Объем

8%

icon for Elisson

Elisson

$551 Объем

1%

icon for Paula Belmonte

Paula Belmonte

$541 Объем

<1%

icon for Professor Robson

Professor Robson

$543 Объем

<1%

icon for Expedito Mendonça

Expedito Mendonça

$554 Объем

<1%

icon for Cappelli

Cappelli

$541 Объем

<1%

icon for Kiko Caputo

Kiko Caputo

$500 Объем

<1%

icon for Professora Samara Mineiro

Professora Samara Mineiro

$500 Объем

<1%

The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Celina Leão (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in March 2026 after Ibaneis Rocha’s resignation, leads the Distrito Federal gubernatorial race with consistent polling support near 40-41% in September surveys, well ahead of José Roberto Arruda (PSD) and Leandro Grass (PT) in the mid-teens. Her advantage stems from incumbency, a broad coalition including PP and União Brasil, and voter familiarity ahead of the October 4 first round. Lower-probability contenders such as Paula Belmonte, Ricardo Cappelli, and Kiko Caputo trail in single digits, reflecting limited momentum in recent Datafolha and Igape data. Minor campaign developments, including an electoral court fine over a state-linked video and ongoing public-sector labor talks, have not shifted the overall positioning. Trader consensus on the market tracks these polling trends and the structural edge for the sitting governor seeking re-election.

The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$17,106
Дата окончания
1 июл. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:44 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Celina Leão (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in March 2026 after Ibaneis Rocha’s resignation, leads the Distrito Federal gubernatorial race with consistent polling support near 40-41% in September surveys, well ahead of José Roberto Arruda (PSD) and Leandro Grass (PT) in the mid-teens. Her advantage stems from incumbency, a broad coalition including PP and União Brasil, and voter familiarity ahead of the October 4 first round. Lower-probability contenders such as Paula Belmonte, Ricardo Cappelli, and Kiko Caputo trail in single digits, reflecting limited momentum in recent Datafolha and Igape data. Minor campaign developments, including an electoral court fine over a state-linked video and ongoing public-sector labor talks, have not shifted the overall positioning. Trader consensus on the market tracks these polling trends and the structural edge for the sitting governor seeking re-election.

The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$17,106
Дата окончания
1 июл. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:44 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Лукас Рибейро выборы губернатора Параибы?

Выиграет ли Лукас Рибейро выборы губернатора Параибы?

82%
Да
icon for Раакель Лира выиграет выборы губернатора Пернамбуку?

Раакель Лира выиграет выборы губернатора Пернамбуку?

59%
Да
icon for Победит ли Омар Азиз на выборах губернатора Амазонаса в 2026 году?

Победит ли Омар Азиз на выборах губернатора Амазонаса в 2026 году?

52%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов губернатора Федерального округа» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 10 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Celina Leão» с 83%, за ним следует «Arruda» с 8%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 83¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 83%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов губернатора Федерального округа» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $17.1K с момента запуска рынка Aug 17, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов губернатора Федерального округа», просмотри 10 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов губернатора Федерального округа» — «Celina Leão» с 83%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 83%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Arruda» с 8%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов губернатора Федерального округа» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.