Current forecasts from the National Weather Service point to a daily high of 88°F or above in Austin on May 17, underpinning the market's 92.5% implied probability for that bin. Southerly warm-air advection ahead of a weak front, combined with mostly clear skies and strong May sunshine, is expected to push afternoon temperatures into the upper 80s or low 90s. Mid-May climatological normals for central Texas show average highs near 85°F, so today's setup represents above-normal warmth. Latest model guidance shows little change through evening, though an earlier-than-expected increase in cloud cover or a faster frontal passage could cap the maximum below 88°F.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 17 мая?
88°F or higher 77%
86-87°F 10%
84-85°F 1.7%
82-83°F <1%
$25,770 Объем
$25,770 Объем
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
10%
88°F or higher
77%
88°F or higher 77%
86-87°F 10%
84-85°F 1.7%
82-83°F <1%
$25,770 Объем
$25,770 Объем
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
10%
88°F or higher
77%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSCurrent forecasts from the National Weather Service point to a daily high of 88°F or above in Austin on May 17, underpinning the market's 92.5% implied probability for that bin. Southerly warm-air advection ahead of a weak front, combined with mostly clear skies and strong May sunshine, is expected to push afternoon temperatures into the upper 80s or low 90s. Mid-May climatological normals for central Texas show average highs near 85°F, so today's setup represents above-normal warmth. Latest model guidance shows little change through evening, though an earlier-than-expected increase in cloud cover or a faster frontal passage could cap the maximum below 88°F.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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