National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 86°F in Denver today under mostly sunny skies and moderately gusty winds, driving the market's 99.8% implied probability on 74°F or higher as trader consensus reflects this strong model agreement from recent runs. A persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies has delivered above-normal temperatures this week—near 86°F yesterday—enabling efficient solar insolation on dry surfaces well above the May 15 climatological normal of 71°F. Fire danger remains elevated amid the heat dome-like pattern. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud development or a late cold front intrusion, though low-confidence ensemble models show minimal risk; monitor hourly observations at Denver International Airport for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Denver on May 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 15?
74°F or higher 99.6%
72-73°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$50,721 Объем
$50,721 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
100%
74°F or higher 99.6%
72-73°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$50,721 Объем
$50,721 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
60-61°F
$2,179 Объем
<1%
62-63°F
$1,890 Объем
<1%
64-65°F
$1,919 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$2,620 Объем
<1%
68-69°F
$2,210 Объем
<1%
70-71°F
$2,573 Объем
<1%
72-73°F
$7,432 Объем
<1%
74°F or higher
$6,858 Объем
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 86°F in Denver today under mostly sunny skies and moderately gusty winds, driving the market's 99.8% implied probability on 74°F or higher as trader consensus reflects this strong model agreement from recent runs. A persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies has delivered above-normal temperatures this week—near 86°F yesterday—enabling efficient solar insolation on dry surfaces well above the May 15 climatological normal of 71°F. Fire danger remains elevated amid the heat dome-like pattern. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud development or a late cold front intrusion, though low-confidence ensemble models show minimal risk; monitor hourly observations at Denver International Airport for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
Объем
$50,721Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 86°F in Denver today under mostly sunny skies and moderately gusty winds, driving the market's 99.8% implied probability on 74°F or higher as trader consensus reflects this strong model agreement from recent runs. A persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies has delivered above-normal temperatures this week—near 86°F yesterday—enabling efficient solar insolation on dry surfaces well above the May 15 climatological normal of 71°F. Fire danger remains elevated amid the heat dome-like pattern. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud development or a late cold front intrusion, though low-confidence ensemble models show minimal risk; monitor hourly observations at Denver International Airport for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$50,721Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 86°F in Denver today under mostly sunny skies and moderately gusty winds, driving the market's 99.8% implied probability on 74°F or higher as trader consensus reflects this strong model agreement from recent runs. A persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies has delivered above-normal temperatures this week—near 86°F yesterday—enabling efficient solar insolation on dry surfaces well above the May 15 climatological normal of 71°F. Fire danger remains elevated amid the heat dome-like pattern. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud development or a late cold front intrusion, though low-confidence ensemble models show minimal risk; monitor hourly observations at Denver International Airport for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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