Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature near 27°C in Guangzhou on May 16 under rainy conditions and increased cloud cover from a weakening subtropical ridge, driving the market-implied 49.5% probability for 28°C or higher alongside 31.5% for exactly 27°C. Ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models show peaks around this threshold amid typical mid-May pre-monsoon warmth, where historical highs average 29–30°C but moisture influx often caps extremes. Real-time observations from official stations will resolve the market by day's end, with any late clearing potentially pushing readings slightly above the forecast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 16?
28°C or higher 90%
27°C 8%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$19,686 Объем
$19,686 Объем
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
90%
28°C or higher 90%
27°C 8%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$19,686 Объем
$19,686 Объем
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature near 27°C in Guangzhou on May 16 under rainy conditions and increased cloud cover from a weakening subtropical ridge, driving the market-implied 49.5% probability for 28°C or higher alongside 31.5% for exactly 27°C. Ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models show peaks around this threshold amid typical mid-May pre-monsoon warmth, where historical highs average 29–30°C but moisture influx often caps extremes. Real-time observations from official stations will resolve the market by day's end, with any late clearing potentially pushing readings slightly above the forecast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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