Recent meteorological forecasts indicate Istanbul will reach daytime maximum temperatures of 25–27°C today, driven by stable high-pressure systems and southerly flow over the region. Official models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show minimal cloud cover and light winds that favor surface heating, consistent with May climatology where highs frequently exceed 24°C. This underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 25°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unforecasted marine layer intrusion that caps readings below the threshold at official measurement stations by midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 16?
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$41,344 Объем
$41,344 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$41,344 Объем
$41,344 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
15°C or below
$1,053 Объем
No
16°C
$674 Объем
No
17°C
$430 Объем
No
18°C
$1,413 Объем
No
19°C
$1,134 Объем
No
20°C
$1,929 Объем
No
21°C
$3,729 Объем
No
22°C
$5,051 Объем
No
23°C
$3,653 Объем
No
24°C
$4,728 Объем
No
25°C or higher
$17,549 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological forecasts indicate Istanbul will reach daytime maximum temperatures of 25–27°C today, driven by stable high-pressure systems and southerly flow over the region. Official models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show minimal cloud cover and light winds that favor surface heating, consistent with May climatology where highs frequently exceed 24°C. This underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 25°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unforecasted marine layer intrusion that caps readings below the threshold at official measurement stations by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Объем
$41,344Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological forecasts indicate Istanbul will reach daytime maximum temperatures of 25–27°C today, driven by stable high-pressure systems and southerly flow over the region. Official models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show minimal cloud cover and light winds that favor surface heating, consistent with May climatology where highs frequently exceed 24°C. This underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 25°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unforecasted marine layer intrusion that caps readings below the threshold at official measurement stations by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$41,344Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
Recent meteorological forecasts indicate Istanbul will reach daytime maximum temperatures of 25–27°C today, driven by stable high-pressure systems and southerly flow over the region. Official models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show minimal cloud cover and light winds that favor surface heating, consistent with May climatology where highs frequently exceed 24°C. This underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 25°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unforecasted marine layer intrusion that caps readings below the threshold at official measurement stations by midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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