National Weather Service surface observations at LaGuardia Airport and Central Park recorded a daily maximum temperature of 76–77°F for New York City on May 16, aligning with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Model guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM converged on modest southerly flow and limited mixing under partly sunny skies, keeping peak heating well below the May climatological average of 72–75°F. This outcome reflects verified thermometer readings rather than forecasts, with resolution criteria tied directly to the highest hourly value at the designated stations. Only an undocumented station calibration error or post-event data revision could alter the result at this stage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in NYC on May 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 16?
76-77°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$184,814 Объем
$184,814 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$184,814 Объем
$184,814 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
65°F or below
$3,745 Объем
No
66-67°F
$3,024 Объем
No
68-69°F
$3,773 Объем
No
70-71°F
$3,610 Объем
No
72-73°F
$12,691 Объем
No
74-75°F
$12,156 Объем
No
76-77°F
$47,645 Объем
Yes
78-79°F
$27,165 Объем
No
80-81°F
$31,114 Объем
No
82-83°F
$22,880 Объем
No
84°F or higher
$17,013 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service surface observations at LaGuardia Airport and Central Park recorded a daily maximum temperature of 76–77°F for New York City on May 16, aligning with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Model guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM converged on modest southerly flow and limited mixing under partly sunny skies, keeping peak heating well below the May climatological average of 72–75°F. This outcome reflects verified thermometer readings rather than forecasts, with resolution criteria tied directly to the highest hourly value at the designated stations. Only an undocumented station calibration error or post-event data revision could alter the result at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Объем
$184,814Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service surface observations at LaGuardia Airport and Central Park recorded a daily maximum temperature of 76–77°F for New York City on May 16, aligning with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Model guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM converged on modest southerly flow and limited mixing under partly sunny skies, keeping peak heating well below the May climatological average of 72–75°F. This outcome reflects verified thermometer readings rather than forecasts, with resolution criteria tied directly to the highest hourly value at the designated stations. Only an undocumented station calibration error or post-event data revision could alter the result at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$184,814Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
National Weather Service surface observations at LaGuardia Airport and Central Park recorded a daily maximum temperature of 76–77°F for New York City on May 16, aligning with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Model guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM converged on modest southerly flow and limited mixing under partly sunny skies, keeping peak heating well below the May climatological average of 72–75°F. This outcome reflects verified thermometer readings rather than forecasts, with resolution criteria tied directly to the highest hourly value at the designated stations. Only an undocumented station calibration error or post-event data revision could alter the result at this stage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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