National Weather Service model ensembles, including the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, currently converge on a peak temperature of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport, the official resolution site, which underpins the market’s leading outcomes for 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F. Minor differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of maximum solar insolation create the narrow spread between these buckets, while a modest chance of slightly stronger heating supports the 90–91 °F tier. With the day’s high still forming under mostly sunny, light-wind conditions typical for mid-May, traders are weighting the latest model guidance heavily as resolution approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 17 мая?
88-89°F 42%
86-87°F 30%
90-91°F 16.9%
84-85°F 13%
$49,789 Объем
$49,789 Объем
79°F или ниже
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
30%
88-89°F
42%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F или выше
<1%
88-89°F 42%
86-87°F 30%
90-91°F 16.9%
84-85°F 13%
$49,789 Объем
$49,789 Объем
79°F или ниже
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
30%
88-89°F
42%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGANational Weather Service model ensembles, including the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, currently converge on a peak temperature of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport, the official resolution site, which underpins the market’s leading outcomes for 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F. Minor differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of maximum solar insolation create the narrow spread between these buckets, while a modest chance of slightly stronger heating supports the 90–91 °F tier. With the day’s high still forming under mostly sunny, light-wind conditions typical for mid-May, traders are weighting the latest model guidance heavily as resolution approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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