National Weather Service forecasts for May 17 project a daytime maximum near 70°F in San Francisco, aligning closely with the climatological normal of 68°F at San Francisco International Airport and driving the 68°F-or-higher outcome to an 87.5% market-implied probability. This positioning stems from a warming synoptic pattern featuring light onshore flow and minimal marine-layer influence, which typically allows temperatures to reach or exceed seasonal averages without significant suppression from coastal stratus. Real-time model consensus and recent observations reinforce this range, while lower bins such as 66–67°F hold only 10% as they would require atypical cooling not supported by current atmospheric conditions. Final resolution hinges on the official KSFO recording once the daily high is confirmed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 17 мая?
68°F or higher 89%
66-67°F 10%
64-65°F 1.1%
62-63°F <1%
$19,810 Объем
$19,810 Объем
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
10%
68°F or higher
89%
68°F or higher 89%
66-67°F 10%
64-65°F 1.1%
62-63°F <1%
$19,810 Объем
$19,810 Объем
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
10%
68°F or higher
89%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFONational Weather Service forecasts for May 17 project a daytime maximum near 70°F in San Francisco, aligning closely with the climatological normal of 68°F at San Francisco International Airport and driving the 68°F-or-higher outcome to an 87.5% market-implied probability. This positioning stems from a warming synoptic pattern featuring light onshore flow and minimal marine-layer influence, which typically allows temperatures to reach or exceed seasonal averages without significant suppression from coastal stratus. Real-time model consensus and recent observations reinforce this range, while lower bins such as 66–67°F hold only 10% as they would require atypical cooling not supported by current atmospheric conditions. Final resolution hinges on the official KSFO recording once the daily high is confirmed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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