National Weather Service forecasts for May 17 project a high near 68–72°F at San Francisco International Airport under sunny skies and light onshore flow, driving the 83% implied probability for 68°F or higher. This outcome aligns with climatological normals for mid-May at the station, where typical afternoon maxima reach 68°F amid suppressed marine-layer influence and stable high pressure. Real-time observations show minimal cloud cover and gradual warming through peak heating hours, consistent with model consensus from NOAA guidance. Traders are weighting these factors heavily as resolution approaches, though minor forecast revisions in the final hours could shift the exact maximum within the upper bins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 17 мая?
68°F or higher 83%
66-67°F 18%
64-65°F 2.1%
49°F or below <1%
$21,092 Объем
$21,092 Объем
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
18%
68°F or higher
83%
68°F or higher 83%
66-67°F 18%
64-65°F 2.1%
49°F or below <1%
$21,092 Объем
$21,092 Объем
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
18%
68°F or higher
83%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFONational Weather Service forecasts for May 17 project a high near 68–72°F at San Francisco International Airport under sunny skies and light onshore flow, driving the 83% implied probability for 68°F or higher. This outcome aligns with climatological normals for mid-May at the station, where typical afternoon maxima reach 68°F amid suppressed marine-layer influence and stable high pressure. Real-time observations show minimal cloud cover and gradual warming through peak heating hours, consistent with model consensus from NOAA guidance. Traders are weighting these factors heavily as resolution approaches, though minor forecast revisions in the final hours could shift the exact maximum within the upper bins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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