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icon for Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 17 мая?

Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 17 мая?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 17 мая?

Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 17 мая?

68°F or higher 83%

66-67°F 18%

64-65°F 2.1%

49°F or below <1%

Polymarket

$21,092 Объем

68°F or higher 83%

66-67°F 18%

64-65°F 2.1%

49°F or below <1%

Polymarket

$21,092 Объем

49°F or below

$894 Объем

<1%

50-51°F

$1,542 Объем

<1%

52-53°F

$555 Объем

<1%

54-55°F

$608 Объем

<1%

56-57°F

$3,452 Объем

<1%

58-59°F

$2,032 Объем

<1%

60-61°F

$1,112 Объем

<1%

62-63°F

$2,757 Объем

<1%

64-65°F

$3,658 Объем

2%

66-67°F

$2,316 Объем

18%

68°F or higher

$2,166 Объем

83%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for May 17 project a high near 68–72°F at San Francisco International Airport under sunny skies and light onshore flow, driving the 83% implied probability for 68°F or higher. This outcome aligns with climatological normals for mid-May at the station, where typical afternoon maxima reach 68°F amid suppressed marine-layer influence and stable high pressure. Real-time observations show minimal cloud cover and gradual warming through peak heating hours, consistent with model consensus from NOAA guidance. Traders are weighting these factors heavily as resolution approaches, though minor forecast revisions in the final hours could shift the exact maximum within the upper bins.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$21,092
Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for May 17 project a high near 68–72°F at San Francisco International Airport under sunny skies and light onshore flow, driving the 83% implied probability for 68°F or higher. This outcome aligns with climatological normals for mid-May at the station, where typical afternoon maxima reach 68°F amid suppressed marine-layer influence and stable high pressure. Real-time observations show minimal cloud cover and gradual warming through peak heating hours, consistent with model consensus from NOAA guidance. Traders are weighting these factors heavily as resolution approaches, though minor forecast revisions in the final hours could shift the exact maximum within the upper bins.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$21,092
Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 17 мая?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «68°F or higher» с 83%, за ним следует «66-67°F» с 18%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 83¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 83%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 17 мая?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $21.1K с момента запуска рынка May 15, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 17 мая?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 17 мая?» — «68°F or higher» с 83%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 83%. Следующий ближайший исход — «66-67°F» с 18%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 17 мая?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.