Official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) observations confirm São Paulo's highest temperature on May 11 reached exactly 17°C at the primary urban station, reflecting trader consensus with 100% market-implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover and cold air advection from a recent frente fria suppressed solar heating, keeping daytime highs well below the climatological May average of 23°C amid stable high-pressure conditions noted in INMET's weekly outlook. This positioning aligns with pre-event model consensus from INMET and CPTEC/INPE projecting maxima near 17°C. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or alternative station records exceeding 17°C, but final INMET bulletins typically solidify such measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 11?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 11?
17°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
$82,654 Объем
$82,654 Объем
11 мая 2026 г.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
$82,654 Объем
$82,654 Объем
11 мая 2026 г.
15°C or below
$3,231 Объем
No
16°C
$13,657 Объем
No
17°C
$18,770 Объем
Yes
18°C
$10,453 Объем
No
19°C
$8,083 Объем
No
20°C
$9,351 Объем
No
21°C
$3,745 Объем
No
22°C
$5,039 Объем
No
23°C
$3,272 Объем
No
24°C
$4,316 Объем
No
25°C or higher
$2,737 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) observations confirm São Paulo's highest temperature on May 11 reached exactly 17°C at the primary urban station, reflecting trader consensus with 100% market-implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover and cold air advection from a recent frente fria suppressed solar heating, keeping daytime highs well below the climatological May average of 23°C amid stable high-pressure conditions noted in INMET's weekly outlook. This positioning aligns with pre-event model consensus from INMET and CPTEC/INPE projecting maxima near 17°C. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or alternative station records exceeding 17°C, but final INMET bulletins typically solidify such measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 9, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
Объем
$82,654Дата окончания
11 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 9, 2026, 1:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) observations confirm São Paulo's highest temperature on May 11 reached exactly 17°C at the primary urban station, reflecting trader consensus with 100% market-implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover and cold air advection from a recent frente fria suppressed solar heating, keeping daytime highs well below the climatological May average of 23°C amid stable high-pressure conditions noted in INMET's weekly outlook. This positioning aligns with pre-event model consensus from INMET and CPTEC/INPE projecting maxima near 17°C. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or alternative station records exceeding 17°C, but final INMET bulletins typically solidify such measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$82,654Дата окончания
11 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 9, 2026, 1:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
Official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) observations confirm São Paulo's highest temperature on May 11 reached exactly 17°C at the primary urban station, reflecting trader consensus with 100% market-implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover and cold air advection from a recent frente fria suppressed solar heating, keeping daytime highs well below the climatological May average of 23°C amid stable high-pressure conditions noted in INMET's weekly outlook. This positioning aligns with pre-event model consensus from INMET and CPTEC/INPE projecting maxima near 17°C. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or alternative station records exceeding 17°C, but final INMET bulletins typically solidify such measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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