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icon for Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 17 мая?

Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 17 мая?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 17 мая?

Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 17 мая?

22°C 79.2%

23°C or higher 36%

13°C or below <1%

14°C <1%

Polymarket

$52,038 Объем

22°C 79.2%

23°C or higher 36%

13°C or below <1%

14°C <1%

Polymarket

$52,038 Объем

13°C or below

$2,459 Объем

<1%

14°C

$710 Объем

<1%

15°C

$1,223 Объем

<1%

16°C

$1,471 Объем

<1%

17°C

$1,226 Объем

<1%

18°C

$3,599 Объем

<1%

19°C

$2,217 Объем

<1%

20°C

$7,932 Объем

<1%

21°C

$14,132 Объем

<1%

22°C

$8,366 Объем

74%

23°C or higher

$8,829 Объем

36%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from INMET and CPTEC points to a daytime maximum near the mid-May climatological average of 22°C for São Paulo, driven by stable high-pressure ridging, moderate southerly flow, and partial afternoon cloud cover that limits solar heating. This positioning explains the 67.3% market-implied probability for exactly 22°C, with the 33.5% chance of 23°C or higher reflecting residual uncertainty in clearing skies or brief warm advection. Historical May records show highs rarely exceeding 24°C this late in autumn, while lower outcomes remain negligible given current 10-day temperature trends and absence of cold-front intrusions. Final station readings from central São Paulo will resolve the market once peak afternoon observations are confirmed.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$52,038
Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from INMET and CPTEC points to a daytime maximum near the mid-May climatological average of 22°C for São Paulo, driven by stable high-pressure ridging, moderate southerly flow, and partial afternoon cloud cover that limits solar heating. This positioning explains the 67.3% market-implied probability for exactly 22°C, with the 33.5% chance of 23°C or higher reflecting residual uncertainty in clearing skies or brief warm advection. Historical May records show highs rarely exceeding 24°C this late in autumn, while lower outcomes remain negligible given current 10-day temperature trends and absence of cold-front intrusions. Final station readings from central São Paulo will resolve the market once peak afternoon observations are confirmed.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$52,038
Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 17 мая?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «22°C» с 74%, за ним следует «23°C or higher» с 36%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 74¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 74%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 17 мая?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $52K с момента запуска рынка May 15, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 17 мая?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 17 мая?» — «22°C» с 74%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 74%. Следующий ближайший исход — «23°C or higher» с 36%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 17 мая?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.