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icon for Самая высокая температура в Сеуле 18 мая?

Самая высокая температура в Сеуле 18 мая?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Сеуле 18 мая?

Самая высокая температура в Сеуле 18 мая?

25°C or higher 74%

24°C 22%

23°C 3.4%

22°C <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$73,469 Объем

25°C or higher 74%

24°C 22%

23°C 3.4%

22°C <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$73,469 Объем

15°C or below

$12,409 Объем

<1%

16°C

$5,911 Объем

<1%

17°C

$5,706 Объем

<1%

18°C

$4,836 Объем

<1%

19°C

$4,502 Объем

1%

20°C

$3,425 Объем

<1%

21°C

$8,971 Объем

<1%

22°C

$7,123 Объем

1%

23°C

$6,486 Объем

3%

24°C

$3,738 Объем

22%

25°C or higher

$10,437 Объем

74%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air across the Korean Peninsula, driving the market-implied probability of 74.5% for a high of 25°C or above in Seoul on May 18. This pattern contrasts with typical mid-May climatological averages of 20–23°C at the Incheon International Airport station, where daily maxima are measured. Model consensus supports modest warming from regional pressure gradients, though inherent forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and local effects could still allow a 24°C outcome, currently priced at 21.0%. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model runs ahead of resolution based on official observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$73,469
Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air across the Korean Peninsula, driving the market-implied probability of 74.5% for a high of 25°C or above in Seoul on May 18. This pattern contrasts with typical mid-May climatological averages of 20–23°C at the Incheon International Airport station, where daily maxima are measured. Model consensus supports modest warming from regional pressure gradients, though inherent forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and local effects could still allow a 24°C outcome, currently priced at 21.0%. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model runs ahead of resolution based on official observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$73,469
Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Сеуле 18 мая?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «25°C or higher» с 74%, за ним следует «24°C» с 22%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 74¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 74%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Сеуле 18 мая?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $73.5K с момента запуска рынка May 16, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Сеуле 18 мая?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Сеуле 18 мая?» — «25°C or higher» с 74%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 74%. Следующий ближайший исход — «24°C» с 22%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Сеуле 18 мая?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.