Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air across the Korean Peninsula, driving the market-implied probability of 74.5% for a high of 25°C or above in Seoul on May 18. This pattern contrasts with typical mid-May climatological averages of 20–23°C at the Incheon International Airport station, where daily maxima are measured. Model consensus supports modest warming from regional pressure gradients, though inherent forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and local effects could still allow a 24°C outcome, currently priced at 21.0%. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model runs ahead of resolution based on official observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сеуле 18 мая?
25°C or higher 74%
24°C 22%
23°C 3.4%
22°C <1%
$73,469 Объем
$73,469 Объем
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
22%
25°C or higher
74%
25°C or higher 74%
24°C 22%
23°C 3.4%
22°C <1%
$73,469 Объем
$73,469 Объем
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
22%
25°C or higher
74%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air across the Korean Peninsula, driving the market-implied probability of 74.5% for a high of 25°C or above in Seoul on May 18. This pattern contrasts with typical mid-May climatological averages of 20–23°C at the Incheon International Airport station, where daily maxima are measured. Model consensus supports modest warming from regional pressure gradients, though inherent forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and local effects could still allow a 24°C outcome, currently priced at 21.0%. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model runs ahead of resolution based on official observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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