Weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles has converged on a maximum of 27°C for Shenzhen today, driving the market-implied odds near certainty for that outcome. This positioning aligns with typical subtropical spring conditions under stable high-pressure influence, where light winds, partial cloud cover, and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta moderate daytime heating close to seasonal norms of 26–28°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport will determine resolution, though minor forecast adjustments or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction before the end of the day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 17 мая?
27°C 99.9%
28°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$47,554 Объем
$47,554 Объем
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.9%
28°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$47,554 Объем
$47,554 Объем
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZWeather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles has converged on a maximum of 27°C for Shenzhen today, driving the market-implied odds near certainty for that outcome. This positioning aligns with typical subtropical spring conditions under stable high-pressure influence, where light winds, partial cloud cover, and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta moderate daytime heating close to seasonal norms of 26–28°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport will determine resolution, though minor forecast adjustments or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction before the end of the day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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