Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global model ensembles highlight a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean that is driving intense daytime heating and minimal cloud cover across the Tel Aviv region on May 17. Clear skies combined with light winds are expected to limit sea-breeze moderation, allowing surface temperatures to climb well above the typical late-May climatological range of 26–28 °C and push the daily maximum into the 35 °C or higher threshold. This consensus among official guidance and ensemble runs underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability for that outcome. Only an abrupt increase in marine-layer moisture or unexpected convective development before peak heating could realistically prevent the threshold from being reached.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 17 мая?
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$70,184 Объем
$70,184 Объем
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$70,184 Объем
$70,184 Объем
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global model ensembles highlight a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean that is driving intense daytime heating and minimal cloud cover across the Tel Aviv region on May 17. Clear skies combined with light winds are expected to limit sea-breeze moderation, allowing surface temperatures to climb well above the typical late-May climatological range of 26–28 °C and push the daily maximum into the 35 °C or higher threshold. This consensus among official guidance and ensemble runs underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability for that outcome. Only an abrupt increase in marine-layer moisture or unexpected convective development before peak heating could realistically prevent the threshold from being reached.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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