Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo highlight a high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating, anchoring the market-implied odds at 99.5% for a 28°C daily maximum at the official Otemachi station. These stable synoptic conditions, typical for mid-May in the Kanto Plain, limit cloud cover and nocturnal cooling while aligning closely with historical climatology for the period. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in short-range numerical weather prediction outputs that have remained consistent within a narrow range across recent model cycles. Only an unexpected late-day frontal intrusion or localized measurement variance at resolution could realistically shift the outcome toward 29°C or higher.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 17 мая?
28°C 99.6%
29°C <1%
30°C or higher <1%
20°C or below <1%
$69,345 Объем
$69,345 Объем
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.6%
29°C <1%
30°C or higher <1%
20°C or below <1%
$69,345 Объем
$69,345 Объем
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo highlight a high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating, anchoring the market-implied odds at 99.5% for a 28°C daily maximum at the official Otemachi station. These stable synoptic conditions, typical for mid-May in the Kanto Plain, limit cloud cover and nocturnal cooling while aligning closely with historical climatology for the period. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in short-range numerical weather prediction outputs that have remained consistent within a narrow range across recent model cycles. Only an unexpected late-day frontal intrusion or localized measurement variance at resolution could realistically shift the outcome toward 29°C or higher.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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