Recent meteorological data and forecast models from New Zealand's MetService point to a stable high of 13°C in Wellington on May 16, driven by typical autumn southerly flows and moderate cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with historical May averages for the capital, where maximum temperatures cluster around 12–14°C under similar pressure patterns. No significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative effects are expected to push readings higher, supporting the market's near-certain consensus. Traders are watching for any late-day shifts in wind direction or unexpected sunshine that could briefly elevate readings, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
13°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$49,154 Объем
$49,154 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$49,154 Объем
$49,154 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
6°C or below
$2,911 Объем
No
7°C
$865 Объем
No
8°C
$607 Объем
No
9°C
$1,394 Объем
No
10°C
$1,099 Объем
No
11°C
$5,073 Объем
No
12°C
$6,831 Объем
No
13°C
$13,035 Объем
Yes
14°C
$9,217 Объем
No
15°C
$4,643 Объем
No
16°C or higher
$3,478 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological data and forecast models from New Zealand's MetService point to a stable high of 13°C in Wellington on May 16, driven by typical autumn southerly flows and moderate cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with historical May averages for the capital, where maximum temperatures cluster around 12–14°C under similar pressure patterns. No significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative effects are expected to push readings higher, supporting the market's near-certain consensus. Traders are watching for any late-day shifts in wind direction or unexpected sunshine that could briefly elevate readings, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Объем
$49,154Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological data and forecast models from New Zealand's MetService point to a stable high of 13°C in Wellington on May 16, driven by typical autumn southerly flows and moderate cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with historical May averages for the capital, where maximum temperatures cluster around 12–14°C under similar pressure patterns. No significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative effects are expected to push readings higher, supporting the market's near-certain consensus. Traders are watching for any late-day shifts in wind direction or unexpected sunshine that could briefly elevate readings, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$49,154Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent meteorological data and forecast models from New Zealand's MetService point to a stable high of 13°C in Wellington on May 16, driven by typical autumn southerly flows and moderate cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with historical May averages for the capital, where maximum temperatures cluster around 12–14°C under similar pressure patterns. No significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative effects are expected to push readings higher, supporting the market's near-certain consensus. Traders are watching for any late-day shifts in wind direction or unexpected sunshine that could briefly elevate readings, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы