Forecast models from major meteorological agencies indicate a peak temperature of 28°C for Wuhan today, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that limits daytime heating while light rain and southeasterly winds moderate surface temperatures. This consensus aligns closely with historical May averages for the region, where highs typically range from 25–29°C under similar synoptic patterns. Recent observational data from ground stations confirm morning readings consistent with these projections, with minimal deviation expected through afternoon hours. Traders assign near-certain probability to the 28°C outcome because alternative scenarios—such as unexpected convective development or a shift in steering flow—remain low-probability based on the latest model runs. An upward revision in official maximum readings or an unforeseen clear-sky period could still alter the final recorded high before the daily close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 17 мая?
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$53,891 Объем
$53,891 Объем
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$53,891 Объем
$53,891 Объем
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHForecast models from major meteorological agencies indicate a peak temperature of 28°C for Wuhan today, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that limits daytime heating while light rain and southeasterly winds moderate surface temperatures. This consensus aligns closely with historical May averages for the region, where highs typically range from 25–29°C under similar synoptic patterns. Recent observational data from ground stations confirm morning readings consistent with these projections, with minimal deviation expected through afternoon hours. Traders assign near-certain probability to the 28°C outcome because alternative scenarios—such as unexpected convective development or a shift in steering flow—remain low-probability based on the latest model runs. An upward revision in official maximum readings or an unforeseen clear-sky period could still alter the final recorded high before the daily close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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