Numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show a consensus maximum of 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, supported by light southerly flow beneath a modest subtropical ridge that favors daytime warming under partial cloud cover. This alignment of observational data and ensemble forecasts underpins the market-implied odds exceeding 99 percent for that outcome. Historical May climatology in the region places typical highs between 26°C and 29°C, providing additional context for the tight clustering around 28°C. Scenarios that could still shift the result include rapid changes in cloud cover, altered wind patterns, or localized precipitation that limit peak heating before the day concludes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 17 мая?
28°C 99.6%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$51,129 Объем
$51,129 Объем
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.6%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$51,129 Объем
$51,129 Объем
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHNumerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show a consensus maximum of 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, supported by light southerly flow beneath a modest subtropical ridge that favors daytime warming under partial cloud cover. This alignment of observational data and ensemble forecasts underpins the market-implied odds exceeding 99 percent for that outcome. Historical May climatology in the region places typical highs between 26°C and 29°C, providing additional context for the tight clustering around 28°C. Scenarios that could still shift the result include rapid changes in cloud cover, altered wind patterns, or localized precipitation that limit peak heating before the day concludes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы