Current meteorological forecasts for Wuhan on May 17 indicate a maximum temperature of 28°C under light rain and southeasterly flow, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. Regional models from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project this value based on persistent cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, with surface observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport expected to record the official high. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs near 26–29°C, providing context for the tight clustering around this outcome. A realistic shift could occur only if unexpected clearing allows greater insolation or if localized urban heat effects push the reading above 29°C, though current guidance shows low probability for such deviations by resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 17 мая?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$55,921 Объем
$55,921 Объем
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$55,921 Объем
$55,921 Объем
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHCurrent meteorological forecasts for Wuhan on May 17 indicate a maximum temperature of 28°C under light rain and southeasterly flow, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. Regional models from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project this value based on persistent cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, with surface observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport expected to record the official high. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs near 26–29°C, providing context for the tight clustering around this outcome. A realistic shift could occur only if unexpected clearing allows greater insolation or if localized urban heat effects push the reading above 29°C, though current guidance shows low probability for such deviations by resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы