The market for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on May 16 reflects overwhelming trader consensus on a 23°C minimum, backed by confirmed observations from the Hong Kong Observatory showing nocturnal cooling stabilized at this level under typical May subtropical high-pressure conditions. Regional atmospheric patterns limited stronger radiative cooling, consistent with climatological baselines for the period that place average daily lows near 22–24°C. Model guidance issued in the preceding days aligned closely with these readings, leaving little room for variance in final verification. Revised station data or post-event quality checks remain the only realistic paths that could alter the outcome, though such revisions occur infrequently once official records are released.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 16 мая?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 16 мая?
23°C 100.0%
18°C или ниже <1%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$38,372 Объем
$38,372 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
49%
21°C
1%
22°C
49%
23°C
100%
24°C
1%
25°C
48%
26°C
49%
27°C
1%
28°C или выше
49%
23°C 100.0%
18°C или ниже <1%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$38,372 Объем
$38,372 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
$2,220 Объем
1%
19°C
$1,380 Объем
1%
20°C
$676 Объем
49%
21°C
$2,786 Объем
1%
22°C
$1,677 Объем
49%
23°C
$3,722 Объем
100%
24°C
$7,233 Объем
1%
25°C
$8,468 Объем
48%
26°C
$5,324 Объем
49%
27°C
$2,252 Объем
1%
28°C или выше
$2,634 Объем
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on May 16 reflects overwhelming trader consensus on a 23°C minimum, backed by confirmed observations from the Hong Kong Observatory showing nocturnal cooling stabilized at this level under typical May subtropical high-pressure conditions. Regional atmospheric patterns limited stronger radiative cooling, consistent with climatological baselines for the period that place average daily lows near 22–24°C. Model guidance issued in the preceding days aligned closely with these readings, leaving little room for variance in final verification. Revised station data or post-event quality checks remain the only realistic paths that could alter the outcome, though such revisions occur infrequently once official records are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$38,372Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on May 16 reflects overwhelming trader consensus on a 23°C minimum, backed by confirmed observations from the Hong Kong Observatory showing nocturnal cooling stabilized at this level under typical May subtropical high-pressure conditions. Regional atmospheric patterns limited stronger radiative cooling, consistent with climatological baselines for the period that place average daily lows near 22–24°C. Model guidance issued in the preceding days aligned closely with these readings, leaving little room for variance in final verification. Revised station data or post-event quality checks remain the only realistic paths that could alter the outcome, though such revisions occur infrequently once official records are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$38,372Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThe market for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on May 16 reflects overwhelming trader consensus on a 23°C minimum, backed by confirmed observations from the Hong Kong Observatory showing nocturnal cooling stabilized at this level under typical May subtropical high-pressure conditions. Regional atmospheric patterns limited stronger radiative cooling, consistent with climatological baselines for the period that place average daily lows near 22–24°C. Model guidance issued in the preceding days aligned closely with these readings, leaving little room for variance in final verification. Revised station data or post-event quality checks remain the only realistic paths that could alter the outcome, though such revisions occur infrequently once official records are released.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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