Current ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate mild overnight conditions for Paris on May 20, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 11°C and 13°C amid light variable winds and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with mid-May climatological averages near 9–11°C while reflecting a modest warm anomaly driven by southerly flow and stable high pressure. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 12°C and 13°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could easily move the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest guidance before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 20 мая?
12°C 23%
13°C 21%
11°C 18%
14°C 15%
6°C или ниже
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
5%
9°C
6%
10°C
8%
11°C
13%
12°C
23%
13°C
21%
14°C
15%
15°C
5%
16°C или выше
4%
12°C 23%
13°C 21%
11°C 18%
14°C 15%
6°C или ниже
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
5%
9°C
6%
10°C
8%
11°C
13%
12°C
23%
13°C
21%
14°C
15%
15°C
5%
16°C или выше
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBCurrent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate mild overnight conditions for Paris on May 20, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 11°C and 13°C amid light variable winds and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with mid-May climatological averages near 9–11°C while reflecting a modest warm anomaly driven by southerly flow and stable high pressure. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 12°C and 13°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could easily move the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest guidance before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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