National Weather Service guidance and leading dynamical models such as the GFS and ECMWF converged on a daytime high of 76–78 °F for Denver on May 16, placing the 76–77 °F bin at a 95.9 % market-implied probability. This outcome reflects a stable high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow that limited daytime heating while keeping skies mostly clear. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 74 °F, so the current setup aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than the near-record warmth observed earlier in the week. Only a late-day downslope wind surge or rapid clearing that exceeded model assumptions could realistically push temperatures into the 78–79 °F range and shift the consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Denver on May 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
76-77°F 96.0%
78-79°F 2.0%
80-81°F <1%
84°F or higher <1%
$60,115 ปริมาณ
$60,115 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
76-77°F
96%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 96.0%
78-79°F 2.0%
80-81°F <1%
84°F or higher <1%
$60,115 ปริมาณ
$60,115 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
70-71°F
$2,861 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$4,261 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$5,427 ปริมาณ
96%
78-79°F
$3,341 ปริมาณ
2%
80-81°F
$4,801 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$5,088 ปริมาณ
<1%
84°F or higher
$7,009 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and leading dynamical models such as the GFS and ECMWF converged on a daytime high of 76–78 °F for Denver on May 16, placing the 76–77 °F bin at a 95.9 % market-implied probability. This outcome reflects a stable high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow that limited daytime heating while keeping skies mostly clear. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 74 °F, so the current setup aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than the near-record warmth observed earlier in the week. Only a late-day downslope wind surge or rapid clearing that exceeded model assumptions could realistically push temperatures into the 78–79 °F range and shift the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60,115วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and leading dynamical models such as the GFS and ECMWF converged on a daytime high of 76–78 °F for Denver on May 16, placing the 76–77 °F bin at a 95.9 % market-implied probability. This outcome reflects a stable high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow that limited daytime heating while keeping skies mostly clear. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 74 °F, so the current setup aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than the near-record warmth observed earlier in the week. Only a late-day downslope wind surge or rapid clearing that exceeded model assumptions could realistically push temperatures into the 78–79 °F range and shift the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60,115วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and leading dynamical models such as the GFS and ECMWF converged on a daytime high of 76–78 °F for Denver on May 16, placing the 76–77 °F bin at a 95.9 % market-implied probability. This outcome reflects a stable high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow that limited daytime heating while keeping skies mostly clear. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 74 °F, so the current setup aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than the near-record warmth observed earlier in the week. Only a late-day downslope wind surge or rapid clearing that exceeded model assumptions could realistically push temperatures into the 78–79 °F range and shift the consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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