Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Paris on May 17, which limit solar heating and keep the daily maximum temperature centered near 15–16°C. These conditions reduce incoming shortwave radiation while suppressing vertical mixing that could otherwise bring warmer air to the surface, aligning with the market’s heaviest implied probability on 16°C. Brief afternoon breaks in cloud cover remain possible and could add 1–2°C, accounting for the secondary support at 17°C. With the resolution window now open and official observations underway, traders are weighting the latest model consensus against climatological May averages near 18°C, producing the current tight clustering around the leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 47%
15°C 35%
17°C 15%
14°C 3.9%
ใหม่
$57,101 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$57,101 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
35%
16°C
47%
17°C
15%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 47%
15°C 35%
17°C 15%
14°C 3.9%
ใหม่
$57,101 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$57,101 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$1,413 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$2,723 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$4,845 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$7,692 ปริมาณ
4%
15°C
$6,708 ปริมาณ
35%
16°C
$8,162 ปริมาณ
47%
17°C
$6,757 ปริมาณ
15%
18°C
$5,376 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$8,567 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C or higher
$3,768 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Paris on May 17, which limit solar heating and keep the daily maximum temperature centered near 15–16°C. These conditions reduce incoming shortwave radiation while suppressing vertical mixing that could otherwise bring warmer air to the surface, aligning with the market’s heaviest implied probability on 16°C. Brief afternoon breaks in cloud cover remain possible and could add 1–2°C, accounting for the secondary support at 17°C. With the resolution window now open and official observations underway, traders are weighting the latest model consensus against climatological May averages near 18°C, producing the current tight clustering around the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$57,101วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Paris on May 17, which limit solar heating and keep the daily maximum temperature centered near 15–16°C. These conditions reduce incoming shortwave radiation while suppressing vertical mixing that could otherwise bring warmer air to the surface, aligning with the market’s heaviest implied probability on 16°C. Brief afternoon breaks in cloud cover remain possible and could add 1–2°C, accounting for the secondary support at 17°C. With the resolution window now open and official observations underway, traders are weighting the latest model consensus against climatological May averages near 18°C, producing the current tight clustering around the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$57,101วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Paris on May 17, which limit solar heating and keep the daily maximum temperature centered near 15–16°C. These conditions reduce incoming shortwave radiation while suppressing vertical mixing that could otherwise bring warmer air to the surface, aligning with the market’s heaviest implied probability on 16°C. Brief afternoon breaks in cloud cover remain possible and could add 1–2°C, accounting for the secondary support at 17°C. With the resolution window now open and official observations underway, traders are weighting the latest model consensus against climatological May averages near 18°C, producing the current tight clustering around the leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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