Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance projects a daytime high of 27°C in Tokyo on May 18 under partly cloudy conditions, with seasonal norms near 25–26°C and limited cloud cover favoring afternoon warming. This outlook, combined with minimal precipitation risk and typical May humidity levels, underpins the 59% market-implied probability for 28°C or higher while keeping 27°C as a close second at 28.5%. Model runs show modest spread around these values, reflecting uncertainty in peak insolation and urban heat effects. Any upward revision in the next 24-hour forecast cycle could further tilt sentiment toward the upper outcomes before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 18?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 18?
28°C or higher 57%
27°C 28%
26°C 12%
25°C 2.4%
ใหม่
$13,095 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,095 ปริมาณ
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
12%
27°C
28%
28°C or higher
57%
28°C or higher 57%
27°C 28%
26°C 12%
25°C 2.4%
ใหม่
$13,095 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,095 ปริมาณ
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
$1,781 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$1,408 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$1,081 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$728 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$826 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$1,390 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$1,622 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$789 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$1,111 ปริมาณ
12%
27°C
$1,119 ปริมาณ
28%
28°C or higher
$1,246 ปริมาณ
57%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance projects a daytime high of 27°C in Tokyo on May 18 under partly cloudy conditions, with seasonal norms near 25–26°C and limited cloud cover favoring afternoon warming. This outlook, combined with minimal precipitation risk and typical May humidity levels, underpins the 59% market-implied probability for 28°C or higher while keeping 27°C as a close second at 28.5%. Model runs show modest spread around these values, reflecting uncertainty in peak insolation and urban heat effects. Any upward revision in the next 24-hour forecast cycle could further tilt sentiment toward the upper outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,095วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance projects a daytime high of 27°C in Tokyo on May 18 under partly cloudy conditions, with seasonal norms near 25–26°C and limited cloud cover favoring afternoon warming. This outlook, combined with minimal precipitation risk and typical May humidity levels, underpins the 59% market-implied probability for 28°C or higher while keeping 27°C as a close second at 28.5%. Model runs show modest spread around these values, reflecting uncertainty in peak insolation and urban heat effects. Any upward revision in the next 24-hour forecast cycle could further tilt sentiment toward the upper outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,095วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTLatest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance projects a daytime high of 27°C in Tokyo on May 18 under partly cloudy conditions, with seasonal norms near 25–26°C and limited cloud cover favoring afternoon warming. This outlook, combined with minimal precipitation risk and typical May humidity levels, underpins the 59% market-implied probability for 28°C or higher while keeping 27°C as a close second at 28.5%. Model runs show modest spread around these values, reflecting uncertainty in peak insolation and urban heat effects. Any upward revision in the next 24-hour forecast cycle could further tilt sentiment toward the upper outcomes before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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