The overwhelming trader consensus for no hurricane formation by May 31 reflects the climatological reality that the official Atlantic hurricane season does not begin until June 1. Current sea surface temperatures and atmospheric conditions remain below thresholds typically required for tropical cyclogenesis, with no active disturbances or organized systems under National Hurricane Center monitoring. Historical records show only a small number of May hurricanes since 1851, underscoring the rarity of such early intensification. While sudden shifts in wind shear or an unexpected tropical wave could theoretically alter the timeline, official forecasts indicate stable patterns through the end of the month, leaving little room for deviation from seasonal norms.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill a hurricane form by May 31?
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
$49,291 ปริมาณ
$49,291 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
$49,291 ปริมาณ
$49,291 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.The overwhelming trader consensus for no hurricane formation by May 31 reflects the climatological reality that the official Atlantic hurricane season does not begin until June 1. Current sea surface temperatures and atmospheric conditions remain below thresholds typically required for tropical cyclogenesis, with no active disturbances or organized systems under National Hurricane Center monitoring. Historical records show only a small number of May hurricanes since 1851, underscoring the rarity of such early intensification. While sudden shifts in wind shear or an unexpected tropical wave could theoretically alter the timeline, official forecasts indicate stable patterns through the end of the month, leaving little room for deviation from seasonal norms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,291วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.The overwhelming trader consensus for no hurricane formation by May 31 reflects the climatological reality that the official Atlantic hurricane season does not begin until June 1. Current sea surface temperatures and atmospheric conditions remain below thresholds typically required for tropical cyclogenesis, with no active disturbances or organized systems under National Hurricane Center monitoring. Historical records show only a small number of May hurricanes since 1851, underscoring the rarity of such early intensification. While sudden shifts in wind shear or an unexpected tropical wave could theoretically alter the timeline, official forecasts indicate stable patterns through the end of the month, leaving little room for deviation from seasonal norms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,291วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The overwhelming trader consensus for no hurricane formation by May 31 reflects the climatological reality that the official Atlantic hurricane season does not begin until June 1. Current sea surface temperatures and atmospheric conditions remain below thresholds typically required for tropical cyclogenesis, with no active disturbances or organized systems under National Hurricane Center monitoring. Historical records show only a small number of May hurricanes since 1851, underscoring the rarity of such early intensification. While sudden shifts in wind shear or an unexpected tropical wave could theoretically alter the timeline, official forecasts indicate stable patterns through the end of the month, leaving little room for deviation from seasonal norms.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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