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icon for Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?
Політика·Ізраїль

Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?

icon for Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?
Політика·Ізраїль

Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?

9% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
9% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The Israeli High Court of Justice’s April 2026 rulings on petitions seeking Ben-Gvir’s removal from the National Security portfolio imposed procedural limits on his police oversight but declined to direct Prime Minister Netanyahu to dismiss him, citing institutional restraint against such an unprecedented intervention. Netanyahu’s governing coalition continues to rely on Otzma Yehudit’s parliamentary support for stability, reducing incentives for removal ahead of the June 30 threshold. Ben-Gvir has maintained active ministerial functions, including his mid-May Temple Mount visit asserting Israeli sovereignty and policy on Jewish prayer access. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 88 percent implied probability against his departure by the resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$2,115
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The Israeli High Court of Justice’s April 2026 rulings on petitions seeking Ben-Gvir’s removal from the National Security portfolio imposed procedural limits on his police oversight but declined to direct Prime Minister Netanyahu to dismiss him, citing institutional restraint against such an unprecedented intervention. Netanyahu’s governing coalition continues to rely on Otzma Yehudit’s parliamentary support for stability, reducing incentives for removal ahead of the June 30 threshold. Ben-Gvir has maintained active ministerial functions, including his mid-May Temple Mount visit asserting Israeli sovereignty and policy on Jewish prayer access. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 88 percent implied probability against his departure by the resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$2,115
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 11% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 11¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 11%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Apr 16, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?» — 11% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 11% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.