Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Cape Town high of 19°C at 55.5% implied probability, with 20°C close behind at 26.5%, reflecting the South African Weather Service (SAWS) morning forecast of fine conditions, moderate south-westerly winds, and a maximum around 20°C following days of heavy rain and cold fronts earlier this week. Clearing skies post-frontal system have boosted warming potential from recent suppressed lows around 14–17°C, aligning with May climatology where daily highs average 19–21°C at Cape Town International Airport. Current observations near 19°C mid-morning underscore this positioning, though sea breeze intensification or lingering coastal clouds could cap peaks at 18°C (10.5%), while sustained sunshine risks nudging toward 20–21°C. SAWS updates at 16:00 SAST and end-of-day airport readings will sharpen resolution amid model consensus variability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 14?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 14?
19°C 66%
18°C 29%
20°C 9%
21°C 1.8%
$25,476 Обс.
$25,476 Обс.
18°C
22%
19°C
66%
20°C
9%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
<1%
19°C 66%
18°C 29%
20°C 9%
21°C 1.8%
$25,476 Обс.
$25,476 Обс.
18°C
22%
19°C
66%
20°C
9%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 12, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Cape Town high of 19°C at 55.5% implied probability, with 20°C close behind at 26.5%, reflecting the South African Weather Service (SAWS) morning forecast of fine conditions, moderate south-westerly winds, and a maximum around 20°C following days of heavy rain and cold fronts earlier this week. Clearing skies post-frontal system have boosted warming potential from recent suppressed lows around 14–17°C, aligning with May climatology where daily highs average 19–21°C at Cape Town International Airport. Current observations near 19°C mid-morning underscore this positioning, though sea breeze intensification or lingering coastal clouds could cap peaks at 18°C (10.5%), while sustained sunshine risks nudging toward 20–21°C. SAWS updates at 16:00 SAST and end-of-day airport readings will sharpen resolution amid model consensus variability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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