Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Dallas high of 86-87°F at 47.5% implied probability on May 16, closely trailed by 84-85°F at 35.5%, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance projecting mostly sunny conditions under a strengthening upper-level ridge over Texas. This setup promotes atmospheric subsidence for clear skies and south winds around 15-20 mph transporting warm, humid air from the Gulf of Mexico, consistent with NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures amid persistent drought that limits evaporative cooling. Over the past 48 hours, GFS and ECMWF ensembles have converged on peaks near 87°F, elevating these outcomes while pricing cooler scenarios below 4% absent any frontal intrusion. Next NWS updates expected this afternoon could refine exact peaks as resolution nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on May 16?
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 16?
90-91°F 35%
88-89°F 34%
92°F or higher 22%
86-87°F 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 16, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
34%
90-91°F
35%
92°F or higher
22%
90-91°F 35%
88-89°F 34%
92°F or higher 22%
86-87°F 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 16, 2026
73°F or below
$348 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$338 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$338 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$338 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$38 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$30 Обс.
1%
84-85°F
$97 Обс.
4%
86-87°F
$219 Обс.
14%
88-89°F
$87 Обс.
34%
90-91°F
$241 Обс.
35%
92°F or higher
$147 Обс.
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Dallas high of 86-87°F at 47.5% implied probability on May 16, closely trailed by 84-85°F at 35.5%, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance projecting mostly sunny conditions under a strengthening upper-level ridge over Texas. This setup promotes atmospheric subsidence for clear skies and south winds around 15-20 mph transporting warm, humid air from the Gulf of Mexico, consistent with NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures amid persistent drought that limits evaporative cooling. Over the past 48 hours, GFS and ECMWF ensembles have converged on peaks near 87°F, elevating these outcomes while pricing cooler scenarios below 4% absent any frontal intrusion. Next NWS updates expected this afternoon could refine exact peaks as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,223Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Dallas high of 86-87°F at 47.5% implied probability on May 16, closely trailed by 84-85°F at 35.5%, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance projecting mostly sunny conditions under a strengthening upper-level ridge over Texas. This setup promotes atmospheric subsidence for clear skies and south winds around 15-20 mph transporting warm, humid air from the Gulf of Mexico, consistent with NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures amid persistent drought that limits evaporative cooling. Over the past 48 hours, GFS and ECMWF ensembles have converged on peaks near 87°F, elevating these outcomes while pricing cooler scenarios below 4% absent any frontal intrusion. Next NWS updates expected this afternoon could refine exact peaks as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$2,223Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Dallas high of 86-87°F at 47.5% implied probability on May 16, closely trailed by 84-85°F at 35.5%, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance projecting mostly sunny conditions under a strengthening upper-level ridge over Texas. This setup promotes atmospheric subsidence for clear skies and south winds around 15-20 mph transporting warm, humid air from the Gulf of Mexico, consistent with NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures amid persistent drought that limits evaporative cooling. Over the past 48 hours, GFS and ECMWF ensembles have converged on peaks near 87°F, elevating these outcomes while pricing cooler scenarios below 4% absent any frontal intrusion. Next NWS updates expected this afternoon could refine exact peaks as resolution nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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