**A sharp cool-down after Denver's record 102°F high on August 3 drove the market's overwhelming 95.5% consensus on a 74–75°F peak for August 4.** National Weather Service observations recorded a maximum of 73°F at Denver, well below the normal high of 89°F, consistent with a frontal passage or increased cloud cover and moisture that suppressed afternoon heating. Model guidance and surface observations aligned on this outcome, reflecting typical post-heat-wave patterns where a new air mass arrives. The 76–77°F bin captured the residual 4% probability for minor station variations or measurement timing. Realistic challenges remain limited to final verified data from the Buckley station or unexpected microclimate effects, but the gap to higher bins makes significant revisions improbable given the clear observational evidence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Denver on August 4?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 4?
74-75°F 97%
76-77°F 4%
84-85°F <1%
71°F or below <1%
$43,296 Обс.
$43,296 Обс.
Aug 4, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
97%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 97%
76-77°F 4%
84-85°F <1%
71°F or below <1%
$43,296 Обс.
$43,296 Обс.
Aug 4, 2026
71°F or below
$5,227 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$6,996 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$4,420 Обс.
97%
76-77°F
$3,606 Обс.
4%
78-79°F
$7,600 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$7,382 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$2,749 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$2,595 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,446 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$540 Обс.
<1%
90°F or higher
$733 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A sharp cool-down after Denver's record 102°F high on August 3 drove the market's overwhelming 95.5% consensus on a 74–75°F peak for August 4.** National Weather Service observations recorded a maximum of 73°F at Denver, well below the normal high of 89°F, consistent with a frontal passage or increased cloud cover and moisture that suppressed afternoon heating. Model guidance and surface observations aligned on this outcome, reflecting typical post-heat-wave patterns where a new air mass arrives. The 76–77°F bin captured the residual 4% probability for minor station variations or measurement timing. Realistic challenges remain limited to final verified data from the Buckley station or unexpected microclimate effects, but the gap to higher bins makes significant revisions improbable given the clear observational evidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$43,296Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A sharp cool-down after Denver's record 102°F high on August 3 drove the market's overwhelming 95.5% consensus on a 74–75°F peak for August 4.** National Weather Service observations recorded a maximum of 73°F at Denver, well below the normal high of 89°F, consistent with a frontal passage or increased cloud cover and moisture that suppressed afternoon heating. Model guidance and surface observations aligned on this outcome, reflecting typical post-heat-wave patterns where a new air mass arrives. The 76–77°F bin captured the residual 4% probability for minor station variations or measurement timing. Realistic challenges remain limited to final verified data from the Buckley station or unexpected microclimate effects, but the gap to higher bins makes significant revisions improbable given the clear observational evidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$43,296Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...**A sharp cool-down after Denver's record 102°F high on August 3 drove the market's overwhelming 95.5% consensus on a 74–75°F peak for August 4.** National Weather Service observations recorded a maximum of 73°F at Denver, well below the normal high of 89°F, consistent with a frontal passage or increased cloud cover and moisture that suppressed afternoon heating. Model guidance and surface observations aligned on this outcome, reflecting typical post-heat-wave patterns where a new air mass arrives. The 76–77°F bin captured the residual 4% probability for minor station variations or measurement timing. Realistic challenges remain limited to final verified data from the Buckley station or unexpected microclimate effects, but the gap to higher bins makes significant revisions improbable given the clear observational evidence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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