National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 14 project highs in the mid-to-upper 80s under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driving the 96.5% market-implied probability for 86°F or higher as traders align with this authoritative guidance. This positioning stems from a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Texas promoting subsidence—downward atmospheric motion that caps clouds and boosts daytime heating—following an Ozone Action Day on May 13 with inland lows in the 60s. May climatology supports this, with 1991-2020 normals near 87°F amid low precipitation odds. Realistic challenges include intensified onshore sea breeze pulling cooler Gulf air inland or unexpected afternoon cumulus development, though model ensembles show low likelihood; watch NWS updates through midday May 14 for refinements ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on May 14?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 14?
86°F or higher 97.5%
84-85°F 1.5%
82-83°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
НОВЕ
$12,221 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,221 Обс.
May 14, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
98%
86°F or higher 97.5%
84-85°F 1.5%
82-83°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
НОВЕ
$12,221 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,221 Обс.
May 14, 2026
67°F or below
$814 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$375 Обс.
<1%
70-71°F
$764 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$6,477 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$654 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$380 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$327 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$368 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$378 Обс.
1%
84-85°F
$758 Обс.
2%
86°F or higher
$927 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 14 project highs in the mid-to-upper 80s under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driving the 96.5% market-implied probability for 86°F or higher as traders align with this authoritative guidance. This positioning stems from a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Texas promoting subsidence—downward atmospheric motion that caps clouds and boosts daytime heating—following an Ozone Action Day on May 13 with inland lows in the 60s. May climatology supports this, with 1991-2020 normals near 87°F amid low precipitation odds. Realistic challenges include intensified onshore sea breeze pulling cooler Gulf air inland or unexpected afternoon cumulus development, though model ensembles show low likelihood; watch NWS updates through midday May 14 for refinements ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 12, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,221Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 12:46 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 14 project highs in the mid-to-upper 80s under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driving the 96.5% market-implied probability for 86°F or higher as traders align with this authoritative guidance. This positioning stems from a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Texas promoting subsidence—downward atmospheric motion that caps clouds and boosts daytime heating—following an Ozone Action Day on May 13 with inland lows in the 60s. May climatology supports this, with 1991-2020 normals near 87°F amid low precipitation odds. Realistic challenges include intensified onshore sea breeze pulling cooler Gulf air inland or unexpected afternoon cumulus development, though model ensembles show low likelihood; watch NWS updates through midday May 14 for refinements ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$12,221Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 12:46 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 14 project highs in the mid-to-upper 80s under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driving the 96.5% market-implied probability for 86°F or higher as traders align with this authoritative guidance. This positioning stems from a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Texas promoting subsidence—downward atmospheric motion that caps clouds and boosts daytime heating—following an Ozone Action Day on May 13 with inland lows in the 60s. May climatology supports this, with 1991-2020 normals near 87°F amid low precipitation odds. Realistic challenges include intensified onshore sea breeze pulling cooler Gulf air inland or unexpected afternoon cumulus development, though model ensembles show low likelihood; watch NWS updates through midday May 14 for refinements ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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