National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 15 project highs in the upper 80s to low 90s under partly sunny skies and light southerly winds, underpinning the 92% market-implied odds for 86°F or higher at official stations like IAH or Hobby. A persistent high-pressure ridge promotes subsidence, limiting cloud cover and enabling strong daytime heating from morning temperatures already in the mid-70s to low 80s; this aligns with May 15 normals of 87°F and recent model consensus showing no frontal intrusions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon marine layer onshore or enhanced sea-breeze mixing capping peaks at 84-85°F, with hourly observations and evening NWS updates providing final clarity before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on May 15?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 15?
86°F or higher 92%
84-85°F 7%
82-83°F 2.7%
80-81°F <1%
$12,410 Обс.
$12,410 Обс.
May 15, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
7%
86°F or higher
92%
86°F or higher 92%
84-85°F 7%
82-83°F 2.7%
80-81°F <1%
$12,410 Обс.
$12,410 Обс.
May 15, 2026
67°F or below
$1,186 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,303 Обс.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,298 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,399 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,844 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,037 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$836 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$766 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$458 Обс.
3%
84-85°F
$1,545 Обс.
7%
86°F or higher
$782 Обс.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 15 project highs in the upper 80s to low 90s under partly sunny skies and light southerly winds, underpinning the 92% market-implied odds for 86°F or higher at official stations like IAH or Hobby. A persistent high-pressure ridge promotes subsidence, limiting cloud cover and enabling strong daytime heating from morning temperatures already in the mid-70s to low 80s; this aligns with May 15 normals of 87°F and recent model consensus showing no frontal intrusions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon marine layer onshore or enhanced sea-breeze mixing capping peaks at 84-85°F, with hourly observations and evening NWS updates providing final clarity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,410Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 15 project highs in the upper 80s to low 90s under partly sunny skies and light southerly winds, underpinning the 92% market-implied odds for 86°F or higher at official stations like IAH or Hobby. A persistent high-pressure ridge promotes subsidence, limiting cloud cover and enabling strong daytime heating from morning temperatures already in the mid-70s to low 80s; this aligns with May 15 normals of 87°F and recent model consensus showing no frontal intrusions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon marine layer onshore or enhanced sea-breeze mixing capping peaks at 84-85°F, with hourly observations and evening NWS updates providing final clarity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$12,410Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 15 project highs in the upper 80s to low 90s under partly sunny skies and light southerly winds, underpinning the 92% market-implied odds for 86°F or higher at official stations like IAH or Hobby. A persistent high-pressure ridge promotes subsidence, limiting cloud cover and enabling strong daytime heating from morning temperatures already in the mid-70s to low 80s; this aligns with May 15 normals of 87°F and recent model consensus showing no frontal intrusions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon marine layer onshore or enhanced sea-breeze mixing capping peaks at 84-85°F, with hourly observations and evening NWS updates providing final clarity before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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