Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate a minimum near 26°C on June 14, 2026, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, northeasterly winds of 10–17 km/h, and persistent cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiational cooling. June climatology places average overnight lows at 26–27°C, and current guidance shows no marine layer intrusions, typhoon influences, or anomalous cold air to push readings lower. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected for June–August support this baseline without altering daily thresholds. Trader consensus at 84% implied probability for 26°C aggregates these verified model runs and historical patterns, with lower-probability outcomes like 25°C requiring unexpected rain-cooled pockets that current data do not support. Updated observations near resolution will confirm the official minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?
26°C 84.3%
25°C 5.7%
24°C 1.6%
23°C <1%
$60,711 Обс.
$60,711 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
84%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 84.3%
25°C 5.7%
24°C 1.6%
23°C <1%
$60,711 Обс.
$60,711 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
22°C or below
$2,923 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$4,899 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$4,629 Обс.
2%
25°C
$4,529 Обс.
6%
26°C
$8,489 Обс.
84%
27°C
$8,003 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$18,740 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$6,709 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$506 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$463 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,756 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate a minimum near 26°C on June 14, 2026, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, northeasterly winds of 10–17 km/h, and persistent cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiational cooling. June climatology places average overnight lows at 26–27°C, and current guidance shows no marine layer intrusions, typhoon influences, or anomalous cold air to push readings lower. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected for June–August support this baseline without altering daily thresholds. Trader consensus at 84% implied probability for 26°C aggregates these verified model runs and historical patterns, with lower-probability outcomes like 25°C requiring unexpected rain-cooled pockets that current data do not support. Updated observations near resolution will confirm the official minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$60,711Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate a minimum near 26°C on June 14, 2026, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, northeasterly winds of 10–17 km/h, and persistent cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiational cooling. June climatology places average overnight lows at 26–27°C, and current guidance shows no marine layer intrusions, typhoon influences, or anomalous cold air to push readings lower. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected for June–August support this baseline without altering daily thresholds. Trader consensus at 84% implied probability for 26°C aggregates these verified model runs and historical patterns, with lower-probability outcomes like 25°C requiring unexpected rain-cooled pockets that current data do not support. Updated observations near resolution will confirm the official minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$60,711Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate a minimum near 26°C on June 14, 2026, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, northeasterly winds of 10–17 km/h, and persistent cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiational cooling. June climatology places average overnight lows at 26–27°C, and current guidance shows no marine layer intrusions, typhoon influences, or anomalous cold air to push readings lower. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected for June–August support this baseline without altering daily thresholds. Trader consensus at 84% implied probability for 26°C aggregates these verified model runs and historical patterns, with lower-probability outcomes like 25°C requiring unexpected rain-cooled pockets that current data do not support. Updated observations near resolution will confirm the official minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання