Israeli officials have signaled that a resumption of large-scale ground operations in Gaza remains a leading option to compel Hamas disarmament and secure territorial gains beyond the established Yellow Line, where forces now control roughly 59 percent of the Strip following incremental advances. Attacks on the enclave rose 35 percent in April amid the post-Iran ceasefire period, with military statements describing renewed fighting as nearly inevitable unless Hamas accepts weapons surrender linked to aid distribution under the current truce framework. Palestinian factions have rejected these conditions, citing the absence of a defined political horizon and ongoing violations of ceasefire terms. The United States has moved to close its coordination center overseeing the truce, while Israeli planning continues for potential operations to expand control and neutralize remaining infrastructure. These developments sustain trader focus on whether diplomatic pressure or domestic security priorities will trigger escalation before mid-year deadlines.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$555,050 Обс.
30 червня
16%
31 грудня
47%
$555,050 Обс.
30 червня
16%
31 грудня
47%
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli officials have signaled that a resumption of large-scale ground operations in Gaza remains a leading option to compel Hamas disarmament and secure territorial gains beyond the established Yellow Line, where forces now control roughly 59 percent of the Strip following incremental advances. Attacks on the enclave rose 35 percent in April amid the post-Iran ceasefire period, with military statements describing renewed fighting as nearly inevitable unless Hamas accepts weapons surrender linked to aid distribution under the current truce framework. Palestinian factions have rejected these conditions, citing the absence of a defined political horizon and ongoing violations of ceasefire terms. The United States has moved to close its coordination center overseeing the truce, while Israeli planning continues for potential operations to expand control and neutralize remaining infrastructure. These developments sustain trader focus on whether diplomatic pressure or domestic security priorities will trigger escalation before mid-year deadlines.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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