Recent polling in Bahia shows a closely contested gubernatorial race between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil, with the two candidates trading narrow leads or technical ties in surveys released through mid-May 2026. Rodrigues benefits from approval ratings in the mid-50s to low-60s driven by education and infrastructure gains, while Neto draws strength from independent and right-leaning voters amid the national realignment of his party away from the Lula administration. The October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff hinge on turnout among swing voters in Salvador and interior municipalities, where local economic concerns and alliances with national blocs could tip margins in either direction.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtACM Neto 48%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 44%
Kleber Rosa <1%
João Roma <1%
$14,079 KL.
$14,079 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
ACM Neto
48%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
44%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
ACM Neto 48%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 44%
Kleber Rosa <1%
João Roma <1%
$14,079 KL.
$14,079 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
ACM Neto
$3,817 KL.
48%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$3,895 KL.
44%
Kleber Rosa
$1,281 KL.
<1%
João Roma
$966 KL.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$1,060 KL.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$1,938 KL.
<1%
Rui Costa
$1,124 KL.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Bahia shows a closely contested gubernatorial race between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil, with the two candidates trading narrow leads or technical ties in surveys released through mid-May 2026. Rodrigues benefits from approval ratings in the mid-50s to low-60s driven by education and infrastructure gains, while Neto draws strength from independent and right-leaning voters amid the national realignment of his party away from the Lula administration. The October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff hinge on turnout among swing voters in Salvador and interior municipalities, where local economic concerns and alliances with national blocs could tip margins in either direction.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Khối lượng
$14,079Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Bahia shows a closely contested gubernatorial race between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil, with the two candidates trading narrow leads or technical ties in surveys released through mid-May 2026. Rodrigues benefits from approval ratings in the mid-50s to low-60s driven by education and infrastructure gains, while Neto draws strength from independent and right-leaning voters amid the national realignment of his party away from the Lula administration. The October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff hinge on turnout among swing voters in Salvador and interior municipalities, where local economic concerns and alliances with national blocs could tip margins in either direction.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$14,079Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Bahia shows a closely contested gubernatorial race between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil, with the two candidates trading narrow leads or technical ties in surveys released through mid-May 2026. Rodrigues benefits from approval ratings in the mid-50s to low-60s driven by education and infrastructure gains, while Neto draws strength from independent and right-leaning voters amid the national realignment of his party away from the Lula administration. The October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff hinge on turnout among swing voters in Salvador and interior municipalities, where local economic concerns and alliances with national blocs could tip margins in either direction.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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