Current forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project daytime highs of 27–29°C for Mexico City on May 18 under partly cloudy conditions, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and seasonal warming at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with May climatology showing average maxima near 26°C, amplified by urban heat island effects and recent observations of 26–29°C across May 14–16. Model consensus favors minimal cooling from scattered afternoon showers, keeping the probability of reaching or exceeding 27°C elevated while uncertainty around exact peak timing or localized convection remains the key variable for traders. Updated SMN guidance and observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 18?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 18?
27°C or higher 83%
26°C 9%
25°C 8%
24°C 1.3%
MỚI
$10,342 KL.
MỚI
$10,342 KL.
May 18, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
9%
27°C or higher
83%
27°C or higher 83%
26°C 9%
25°C 8%
24°C 1.3%
MỚI
$10,342 KL.
MỚI
$10,342 KL.
May 18, 2026
17°C or below
$1,846 KL.
<1%
18°C
$4,560 KL.
<1%
19°C
$528 KL.
<1%
20°C
$425 KL.
<1%
21°C
$272 KL.
<1%
22°C
$483 KL.
<1%
23°C
$542 KL.
1%
24°C
$445 KL.
1%
25°C
$559 KL.
8%
26°C
$383 KL.
9%
27°C or higher
$298 KL.
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project daytime highs of 27–29°C for Mexico City on May 18 under partly cloudy conditions, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and seasonal warming at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with May climatology showing average maxima near 26°C, amplified by urban heat island effects and recent observations of 26–29°C across May 14–16. Model consensus favors minimal cooling from scattered afternoon showers, keeping the probability of reaching or exceeding 27°C elevated while uncertainty around exact peak timing or localized convection remains the key variable for traders. Updated SMN guidance and observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,342Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project daytime highs of 27–29°C for Mexico City on May 18 under partly cloudy conditions, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and seasonal warming at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with May climatology showing average maxima near 26°C, amplified by urban heat island effects and recent observations of 26–29°C across May 14–16. Model consensus favors minimal cooling from scattered afternoon showers, keeping the probability of reaching or exceeding 27°C elevated while uncertainty around exact peak timing or localized convection remains the key variable for traders. Updated SMN guidance and observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$10,342Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXCurrent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project daytime highs of 27–29°C for Mexico City on May 18 under partly cloudy conditions, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and seasonal warming at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with May climatology showing average maxima near 26°C, amplified by urban heat island effects and recent observations of 26–29°C across May 14–16. Model consensus favors minimal cooling from scattered afternoon showers, keeping the probability of reaching or exceeding 27°C elevated while uncertainty around exact peak timing or localized convection remains the key variable for traders. Updated SMN guidance and observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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