The 10-year Treasury yield, currently trading near 4.68-4.69 percent, reflects trader focus on sticky inflation, elevated federal deficits, and a Federal Reserve holding the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75 percent after a divided July decision. Recent CPI prints showing year-over-year inflation around 3.4 percent with core measures slowing modestly have eased immediate hike odds for September but left markets pricing potential tightening later in 2026 if price pressures reaccelerate. Fiscal supply concerns and term premium expansion continue to anchor longer-term rates above recent cycle lows, while steady growth and labor data limit downside moves. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI and employment releases plus FOMC communications that could shift expectations for the policy path through year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$286,114 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
4.8%
64%
5.0%
29%
5.2%
8%
5.5%
7%
5.7%
5%
6.0%
6%
$286,114 KL.
4.8%
$59,302 KL.
64%
5.0%
$81,123 KL.
29%
5.2%
$26,278 KL.
8%
5.5%
$5,832 KL.
7%
5.7%
$4,234 KL.
5%
6.0%
$3,059 KL.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield, currently trading near 4.68-4.69 percent, reflects trader focus on sticky inflation, elevated federal deficits, and a Federal Reserve holding the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75 percent after a divided July decision. Recent CPI prints showing year-over-year inflation around 3.4 percent with core measures slowing modestly have eased immediate hike odds for September but left markets pricing potential tightening later in 2026 if price pressures reaccelerate. Fiscal supply concerns and term premium expansion continue to anchor longer-term rates above recent cycle lows, while steady growth and labor data limit downside moves. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI and employment releases plus FOMC communications that could shift expectations for the policy path through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Thị trường mở: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$286,114Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield, currently trading near 4.68-4.69 percent, reflects trader focus on sticky inflation, elevated federal deficits, and a Federal Reserve holding the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75 percent after a divided July decision. Recent CPI prints showing year-over-year inflation around 3.4 percent with core measures slowing modestly have eased immediate hike odds for September but left markets pricing potential tightening later in 2026 if price pressures reaccelerate. Fiscal supply concerns and term premium expansion continue to anchor longer-term rates above recent cycle lows, while steady growth and labor data limit downside moves. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI and employment releases plus FOMC communications that could shift expectations for the policy path through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Khối lượng
$286,114Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield, currently trading near 4.68-4.69 percent, reflects trader focus on sticky inflation, elevated federal deficits, and a Federal Reserve holding the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75 percent after a divided July decision. Recent CPI prints showing year-over-year inflation around 3.4 percent with core measures slowing modestly have eased immediate hike odds for September but left markets pricing potential tightening later in 2026 if price pressures reaccelerate. Fiscal supply concerns and term premium expansion continue to anchor longer-term rates above recent cycle lows, while steady growth and labor data limit downside moves. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI and employment releases plus FOMC communications that could shift expectations for the policy path through year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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