Recent U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets beginning February 28, 2026, prompted Israeli authorities to close national airspace immediately, citing heightened security risks from expected Iranian missile and drone retaliation. Subsequent Iranian responses and regional tensions led to extended restrictions, with only limited rescue and approved flights operating through March and into mid-April. European aviation regulators have maintained cautionary advisories for Israeli airspace, recently softened to emphasize risk monitoring rather than outright avoidance, while major carriers continue suspended operations. Ongoing diplomatic efforts toward de-escalation and any renewed military exchanges remain the primary variables that could trigger further closures or reopenings in the coming weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$891,440 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
May 31
31%
June 30
48%
$891,440 KL.
May 31
$386,563 KL.
31%
June 30
$9,629 KL.
48%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets beginning February 28, 2026, prompted Israeli authorities to close national airspace immediately, citing heightened security risks from expected Iranian missile and drone retaliation. Subsequent Iranian responses and regional tensions led to extended restrictions, with only limited rescue and approved flights operating through March and into mid-April. European aviation regulators have maintained cautionary advisories for Israeli airspace, recently softened to emphasize risk monitoring rather than outright avoidance, while major carriers continue suspended operations. Ongoing diplomatic efforts toward de-escalation and any renewed military exchanges remain the primary variables that could trigger further closures or reopenings in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Khối lượng
$891,440Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets beginning February 28, 2026, prompted Israeli authorities to close national airspace immediately, citing heightened security risks from expected Iranian missile and drone retaliation. Subsequent Iranian responses and regional tensions led to extended restrictions, with only limited rescue and approved flights operating through March and into mid-April. European aviation regulators have maintained cautionary advisories for Israeli airspace, recently softened to emphasize risk monitoring rather than outright avoidance, while major carriers continue suspended operations. Ongoing diplomatic efforts toward de-escalation and any renewed military exchanges remain the primary variables that could trigger further closures or reopenings in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$891,440Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets beginning February 28, 2026, prompted Israeli authorities to close national airspace immediately, citing heightened security risks from expected Iranian missile and drone retaliation. Subsequent Iranian responses and regional tensions led to extended restrictions, with only limited rescue and approved flights operating through March and into mid-April. European aviation regulators have maintained cautionary advisories for Israeli airspace, recently softened to emphasize risk monitoring rather than outright avoidance, while major carriers continue suspended operations. Ongoing diplomatic efforts toward de-escalation and any renewed military exchanges remain the primary variables that could trigger further closures or reopenings in the coming weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp