United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Karelia Legislative Assembly election market due to its position as Russia's dominant ruling party, extensive administrative resources, and consistent performance in single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system. The September 18–20, 2026, vote coincided with national State Duma elections held in a tightly controlled environment where most registered parties align with federal priorities and prominent anti-war lists faced exclusion. Preliminary national results showed United Russia securing over 57% of the party-list vote, with similar patterns emerging in regional contests. Traders price in historical precedents of the party securing legislative majorities even with modest vote shares. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include major discrepancies in final seat allocation from the 18 proportional and 18 constituency seats or verified irregularities in counting, though such shifts remain improbable given the structural advantages.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtUnited Russia 97.4%
LDPR <1%
Party of Pensioners <1%
New People <1%
$4,999 KL.
$4,999 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
97%
LDPR
1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
New People
<1%
CPRF
<1%
Rodina
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
The Greens
<1%
United Russia 97.4%
LDPR <1%
Party of Pensioners <1%
New People <1%
$4,999 KL.
$4,999 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
$1,036 KL.
97%
LDPR
$551 KL.
1%
Party of Pensioners
$312 KL.
<1%
New People
$501 KL.
<1%
CPRF
$388 KL.
<1%
Rodina
$761 KL.
<1%
A Just Russia
$349 KL.
<1%
Communists of Russia
$273 KL.
<1%
Yabloko
$439 KL.
<1%
The Greens
$389 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Karelia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Karelia Legislative Assembly election market due to its position as Russia's dominant ruling party, extensive administrative resources, and consistent performance in single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system. The September 18–20, 2026, vote coincided with national State Duma elections held in a tightly controlled environment where most registered parties align with federal priorities and prominent anti-war lists faced exclusion. Preliminary national results showed United Russia securing over 57% of the party-list vote, with similar patterns emerging in regional contests. Traders price in historical precedents of the party securing legislative majorities even with modest vote shares. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include major discrepancies in final seat allocation from the 18 proportional and 18 constituency seats or verified irregularities in counting, though such shifts remain improbable given the structural advantages.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Karelia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Thị trường mở: Jul 28, 2026, 11:46 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,999Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 28, 2026, 11:46 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Karelia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Karelia Legislative Assembly election market due to its position as Russia's dominant ruling party, extensive administrative resources, and consistent performance in single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system. The September 18–20, 2026, vote coincided with national State Duma elections held in a tightly controlled environment where most registered parties align with federal priorities and prominent anti-war lists faced exclusion. Preliminary national results showed United Russia securing over 57% of the party-list vote, with similar patterns emerging in regional contests. Traders price in historical precedents of the party securing legislative majorities even with modest vote shares. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include major discrepancies in final seat allocation from the 18 proportional and 18 constituency seats or verified irregularities in counting, though such shifts remain improbable given the structural advantages.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Karelia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Khối lượng
$4,999Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 28, 2026, 11:46 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Karelia Legislative Assembly election market due to its position as Russia's dominant ruling party, extensive administrative resources, and consistent performance in single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system. The September 18–20, 2026, vote coincided with national State Duma elections held in a tightly controlled environment where most registered parties align with federal priorities and prominent anti-war lists faced exclusion. Preliminary national results showed United Russia securing over 57% of the party-list vote, with similar patterns emerging in regional contests. Traders price in historical precedents of the party securing legislative majorities even with modest vote shares. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include major discrepancies in final seat allocation from the 18 proportional and 18 constituency seats or verified irregularities in counting, though such shifts remain improbable given the structural advantages.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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