The 2026 Russian State Duma elections, held September 18–20, concluded with preliminary Central Election Commission counts placing United Russia at approximately 57% on party lists after processing over 40% of protocols, aligning closely with the market's leading 55-60% outcome. This positioning reflects the party's dominance in a tightly managed contest featuring limited opposition, exclusion of anti-war lists such as Yabloko, and consistent leads in single-mandate districts. Turnout reached about 56.7%, higher than prior cycles, amid wartime conditions and economic pressures. Other parties trailed well behind the 5% threshold for representation, supporting trader consensus on a result that would secure a constitutional majority when combined with constituency wins. Final tallies expected by September 25 could refine the exact share within this band.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật55-60% 86%
60%+ 10.5%
50-55% 5%
45-50% <1%
$34,047 KL.
$34,047 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
<40%
<1%
40-45%
<1%
45-50%
1%
50-55%
5%
55-60%
86%
60%+
11%
55-60% 86%
60%+ 10.5%
50-55% 5%
45-50% <1%
$34,047 KL.
$34,047 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
<40%
$146 KL.
<1%
40-45%
$578 KL.
<1%
45-50%
$5,432 KL.
1%
50-55%
$8,052 KL.
5%
55-60%
$5,426 KL.
86%
60%+
$14,413 KL.
11%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The 2026 Russian State Duma elections, held September 18–20, concluded with preliminary Central Election Commission counts placing United Russia at approximately 57% on party lists after processing over 40% of protocols, aligning closely with the market's leading 55-60% outcome. This positioning reflects the party's dominance in a tightly managed contest featuring limited opposition, exclusion of anti-war lists such as Yabloko, and consistent leads in single-mandate districts. Turnout reached about 56.7%, higher than prior cycles, amid wartime conditions and economic pressures. Other parties trailed well behind the 5% threshold for representation, supporting trader consensus on a result that would secure a constitutional majority when combined with constituency wins. Final tallies expected by September 25 could refine the exact share within this band.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Khối lượng
$34,047Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The 2026 Russian State Duma elections, held September 18–20, concluded with preliminary Central Election Commission counts placing United Russia at approximately 57% on party lists after processing over 40% of protocols, aligning closely with the market's leading 55-60% outcome. This positioning reflects the party's dominance in a tightly managed contest featuring limited opposition, exclusion of anti-war lists such as Yabloko, and consistent leads in single-mandate districts. Turnout reached about 56.7%, higher than prior cycles, amid wartime conditions and economic pressures. Other parties trailed well behind the 5% threshold for representation, supporting trader consensus on a result that would secure a constitutional majority when combined with constituency wins. Final tallies expected by September 25 could refine the exact share within this band.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Khối lượng
$34,047Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Russian State Duma elections, held September 18–20, concluded with preliminary Central Election Commission counts placing United Russia at approximately 57% on party lists after processing over 40% of protocols, aligning closely with the market's leading 55-60% outcome. This positioning reflects the party's dominance in a tightly managed contest featuring limited opposition, exclusion of anti-war lists such as Yabloko, and consistent leads in single-mandate districts. Turnout reached about 56.7%, higher than prior cycles, amid wartime conditions and economic pressures. Other parties trailed well behind the 5% threshold for representation, supporting trader consensus on a result that would secure a constitutional majority when combined with constituency wins. Final tallies expected by September 25 could refine the exact share within this band.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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