Ongoing US-Iran negotiations over a nuclear agreement remain stalled amid fundamental disagreements on sequencing and scope, with Washington insisting on immediate limits to uranium enrichment and disposition of Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpile while Tehran seeks sanctions relief and an end to hostilities first. Recent exchanges in early May 2026 produced counterproposals that defer core nuclear issues to a later phase, prompting US officials to describe them as insufficient and Iranian sources to criticize maximalist demands. These dynamics, compounded by deep mutual distrust and the compressed timeline to June 30, underpin trader expectations that a comprehensive deal will not materialize.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtThỏa thuận hạt nhân Mỹ-Iran trước ngày 30 tháng 6?
Thỏa thuận hạt nhân Mỹ-Iran trước ngày 30 tháng 6?
Có
$1,859,470 KL.
$1,859,470 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
Có
$1,859,470 KL.
$1,859,470 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations over a nuclear agreement remain stalled amid fundamental disagreements on sequencing and scope, with Washington insisting on immediate limits to uranium enrichment and disposition of Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpile while Tehran seeks sanctions relief and an end to hostilities first. Recent exchanges in early May 2026 produced counterproposals that defer core nuclear issues to a later phase, prompting US officials to describe them as insufficient and Iranian sources to criticize maximalist demands. These dynamics, compounded by deep mutual distrust and the compressed timeline to June 30, underpin trader expectations that a comprehensive deal will not materialize.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Thị trường mở: Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,859,470Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations over a nuclear agreement remain stalled amid fundamental disagreements on sequencing and scope, with Washington insisting on immediate limits to uranium enrichment and disposition of Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpile while Tehran seeks sanctions relief and an end to hostilities first. Recent exchanges in early May 2026 produced counterproposals that defer core nuclear issues to a later phase, prompting US officials to describe them as insufficient and Iranian sources to criticize maximalist demands. These dynamics, compounded by deep mutual distrust and the compressed timeline to June 30, underpin trader expectations that a comprehensive deal will not materialize.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Khối lượng
$1,859,470Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations over a nuclear agreement remain stalled amid fundamental disagreements on sequencing and scope, with Washington insisting on immediate limits to uranium enrichment and disposition of Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpile while Tehran seeks sanctions relief and an end to hostilities first. Recent exchanges in early May 2026 produced counterproposals that defer core nuclear issues to a later phase, prompting US officials to describe them as insufficient and Iranian sources to criticize maximalist demands. These dynamics, compounded by deep mutual distrust and the compressed timeline to June 30, underpin trader expectations that a comprehensive deal will not materialize.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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