Recent polls from August 2026 show incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) leading first-round voting intentions at 39-42%, followed by Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) at 32-35%, with all other declared candidates—including Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), Renan Santos (Missão), and Romeu Zema (Novo)—remaining in low single digits. Flávio Bolsonaro secured his party's nomination in late July and launched his campaign in mid-August, consolidating much of the right-wing vote previously aligned with his father, Jair Bolsonaro, who remains ineligible. Lula's modest lead in simulated runoffs and steady approval ratings near 47% reinforce expectations of a two-candidate runoff on October 25. With the October 4 first round approaching and no polling surge evident for alternative contenders, trader consensus heavily favors Flávio Bolsonaro as the clear second-place finisher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於弗拉維奧·波索納羅 85%
路易斯·伊納西奧·盧拉·達席爾瓦 6.4%
雷南·桑托斯 4.6%
羅納爾多·卡亞多 <1%
$5,209,861 交易量
$5,209,861 交易量
2026-10-03
弗拉維奧·波索納羅
85%
路易斯·伊納西奧·盧拉·達席爾瓦
6%
雷南·桑托斯
5%
羅納爾多·卡亞多
<1%
羅梅烏·澤馬
<1%
卡米洛·桑塔納
<1%
費爾南多·哈達
<1%
愛德華多·波索納羅
<1%
奧爾多·雷貝洛
<1%
塔西西奧·德·弗雷塔斯
<1%
米歇爾·波索納羅
<1%
雅伊爾·博爾索納羅
<1%
哈蒂諾·朱尼奧爾
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
<1%
愛德華多·萊特
<1%
赫爾德·巴爾巴洛
<1%
特蕾莎·克里斯蒂娜
<1%
弗拉維奧·波索納羅 85%
路易斯·伊納西奧·盧拉·達席爾瓦 6.4%
雷南·桑托斯 4.6%
羅納爾多·卡亞多 <1%
$5,209,861 交易量
$5,209,861 交易量
2026-10-03
弗拉維奧·波索納羅
$350,058 交易量
85%
路易斯·伊納西奧·盧拉·達席爾瓦
$289,300 交易量
6%
雷南·桑托斯
$1,137,661 交易量
5%
羅納爾多·卡亞多
$381,948 交易量
<1%
羅梅烏·澤馬
$331,290 交易量
<1%
卡米洛·桑塔納
$155,986 交易量
<1%
費爾南多·哈達
$762,591 交易量
<1%
愛德華多·波索納羅
$127,967 交易量
<1%
奧爾多·雷貝洛
$89,739 交易量
<1%
塔西西奧·德·弗雷塔斯
$226,155 交易量
<1%
米歇爾·波索納羅
$168,933 交易量
<1%
雅伊爾·博爾索納羅
$156,029 交易量
<1%
哈蒂諾·朱尼奧爾
$699,065 交易量
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$179,840 交易量
<1%
愛德華多·萊特
$96,821 交易量
<1%
赫爾德·巴爾巴洛
$20,972 交易量
<1%
特蕾莎·克里斯蒂娜
$35,504 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls from August 2026 show incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) leading first-round voting intentions at 39-42%, followed by Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) at 32-35%, with all other declared candidates—including Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), Renan Santos (Missão), and Romeu Zema (Novo)—remaining in low single digits. Flávio Bolsonaro secured his party's nomination in late July and launched his campaign in mid-August, consolidating much of the right-wing vote previously aligned with his father, Jair Bolsonaro, who remains ineligible. Lula's modest lead in simulated runoffs and steady approval ratings near 47% reinforce expectations of a two-candidate runoff on October 25. With the October 4 first round approaching and no polling surge evident for alternative contenders, trader consensus heavily favors Flávio Bolsonaro as the clear second-place finisher.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市場開放時間： Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
交易量
$5,209,861結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls from August 2026 show incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) leading first-round voting intentions at 39-42%, followed by Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) at 32-35%, with all other declared candidates—including Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), Renan Santos (Missão), and Romeu Zema (Novo)—remaining in low single digits. Flávio Bolsonaro secured his party's nomination in late July and launched his campaign in mid-August, consolidating much of the right-wing vote previously aligned with his father, Jair Bolsonaro, who remains ineligible. Lula's modest lead in simulated runoffs and steady approval ratings near 47% reinforce expectations of a two-candidate runoff on October 25. With the October 4 first round approaching and no polling surge evident for alternative contenders, trader consensus heavily favors Flávio Bolsonaro as the clear second-place finisher.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$5,209,861結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls from August 2026 show incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) leading first-round voting intentions at 39-42%, followed by Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) at 32-35%, with all other declared candidates—including Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), Renan Santos (Missão), and Romeu Zema (Novo)—remaining in low single digits. Flávio Bolsonaro secured his party's nomination in late July and launched his campaign in mid-August, consolidating much of the right-wing vote previously aligned with his father, Jair Bolsonaro, who remains ineligible. Lula's modest lead in simulated runoffs and steady approval ratings near 47% reinforce expectations of a two-candidate runoff on October 25. With the October 4 first round approaching and no polling surge evident for alternative contenders, trader consensus heavily favors Flávio Bolsonaro as the clear second-place finisher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions