The California 47th congressional district's established Democratic lean, reinforced by recent election results and demographic patterns, underpins trader consensus for the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Dave Min holds a clear advantage after advancing from the June 2026 primary, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly or safely Democratic ahead of the November general election. This positioning reflects limited Republican competitiveness in the district and the structural benefits of incumbency in a state where Democrats maintain a substantial House delegation edge. A Republican win remains possible only under low-probability conditions such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment that dramatically alters turnout or voter sentiment in the final months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$12,737 交易量
$12,737 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
6%
$12,737 交易量
$12,737 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$1,861 交易量
94%
共和黨
$10,876 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The California 47th congressional district's established Democratic lean, reinforced by recent election results and demographic patterns, underpins trader consensus for the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Dave Min holds a clear advantage after advancing from the June 2026 primary, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly or safely Democratic ahead of the November general election. This positioning reflects limited Republican competitiveness in the district and the structural benefits of incumbency in a state where Democrats maintain a substantial House delegation edge. A Republican win remains possible only under low-probability conditions such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment that dramatically alters turnout or voter sentiment in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$12,737結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The California 47th congressional district's established Democratic lean, reinforced by recent election results and demographic patterns, underpins trader consensus for the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Dave Min holds a clear advantage after advancing from the June 2026 primary, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly or safely Democratic ahead of the November general election. This positioning reflects limited Republican competitiveness in the district and the structural benefits of incumbency in a state where Democrats maintain a substantial House delegation edge. A Republican win remains possible only under low-probability conditions such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment that dramatically alters turnout or voter sentiment in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,737結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The California 47th congressional district's established Democratic lean, reinforced by recent election results and demographic patterns, underpins trader consensus for the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Dave Min holds a clear advantage after advancing from the June 2026 primary, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly or safely Democratic ahead of the November general election. This positioning reflects limited Republican competitiveness in the district and the structural benefits of incumbency in a state where Democrats maintain a substantial House delegation edge. A Republican win remains possible only under low-probability conditions such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment that dramatically alters turnout or voter sentiment in the final months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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