Trader consensus strongly favors an 18°C high in Ankara today at over 85% implied probability, reflecting the latest outputs from regional forecast models and observational data showing maximum temperatures stabilizing near this level amid partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon showers. Typical May climatology for central Anatolia, with daytime highs averaging 21–22°C, combines with current atmospheric conditions—moderate southwesterly flow and limited solar heating—to suppress stronger warming, keeping odds of 19°C or above below 12%. Ensemble guidance indicates minimal risk of significant deviation, as any late-day clearing would need to overcome the prevailing moisture profile to push readings higher. Real-time station updates throughout the afternoon will provide the final calibration for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日安卡拉的最高溫度?
18°C 89%
19°C 10%
20°C 3.0%
21°C <1%
$45,455 交易量
$45,455 交易量
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
89%
19°C
10%
20°C
3%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C或更高
<1%
18°C 89%
19°C 10%
20°C 3.0%
21°C <1%
$45,455 交易量
$45,455 交易量
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
89%
19°C
10%
20°C
3%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus strongly favors an 18°C high in Ankara today at over 85% implied probability, reflecting the latest outputs from regional forecast models and observational data showing maximum temperatures stabilizing near this level amid partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon showers. Typical May climatology for central Anatolia, with daytime highs averaging 21–22°C, combines with current atmospheric conditions—moderate southwesterly flow and limited solar heating—to suppress stronger warming, keeping odds of 19°C or above below 12%. Ensemble guidance indicates minimal risk of significant deviation, as any late-day clearing would need to overcome the prevailing moisture profile to push readings higher. Real-time station updates throughout the afternoon will provide the final calibration for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions